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Series:FEDS Notes  Bank:Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) 

Discussion Paper
Where Should Online Peer-to-Peer Markets Thrive?

The rapid growth of firms such as Uber, Airbnb, and Task Rabbit has attracted considerable attention - and controversy - from the media, policymakers and researchers. This note considers the potential for spatial variation in the size and composition of online P2P markets from both the labor market and consumer perspectives.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2016-12-22-2

Discussion Paper
Analyzing the Community Bank Leverage Ratio

This note analyzes the newly introduced Community Bank Leverage Ratio ("CBLR") framework. The analysis covers the framework's eligibility, its capital stringency, and its potential impact on system-wide capital levels under a hypothetical adverse scenario.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2020-05-26-1

Discussion Paper
Inflation Perceptions and Inflation Expectations

In this note, we discuss new data on consumers' perceptions of recent inflation from the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers (MSC). Our preliminary results show that survey responses indicate inflation perceptions differ widely across individuals (with a slightly wider distribution than for inflation expectations) but the bulk of responses are between zero and five percent.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2016-12-05-2

Discussion Paper
Labor Market Outcomes in Metropolitan and Non-Metropolitan Areas : Signs of Growing Disparities

The U.S. unemployment rate has fallen steadily since 2010, indicating broad-based improvement in the labor market. However, disaggregated measures reveal divergences between regions and types of workers. This note documents two geographic disparities in the U.S. labor market.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2017-09-25

Discussion Paper
Liquidity Transformation Risks in U.S. Bank Loan and High-Yield Mutual Funds

Net assets in open-end (non-money market) mutual funds (MFs) have increased notably over the past decades.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2019-08-09

Discussion Paper
Indicative Forward-Looking SOFR Term Rates

This note presents indicative forward-looking term rates derived from end-of-day SOFR futures prices. The accompanying data file also includes compound averages of daily SOFR rates.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2019-04-19-1

Discussion Paper
Low Inflation in the United States : A Summary of Recent Research

Inflation in the United States has been running at low levels. Over the five years ending in December 2014, the percent change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), at 8.8 percent (or 1.7 percent at an annual rate), was the lowest rate of price increase seen in the United States in half a century.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2015-11-23

Discussion Paper
Real Effects of Uncertainty: Evidence from Brexit

In the historic Brexit referendum on June 23, 2016, U.K. citizens voted in favor of leaving the European Union (EU), a result that created substantial uncertainty regarding the future economic relationship between the United Kingdom and the EU. As can be seen in Figure 1, uncertainty, measured by the Economic and Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index of Baker et al. (2016), spiked around the Brexit referendum date and has remained elevated relative to its pre-referendum levels since then.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2020-05-11

Discussion Paper
Comparing Three Credit Scoring Models /Rachael Beer, Felicia Ionescu, and Geng Li.

Our analysis uses a different, unique proprietary dataset that features three frequently used credit scores for each individual. Compared with the dataset used in the CFPB report, this dataset includes more recent time periods and provides a longer historical perspective of credit score comparisons.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2018-05-21

Discussion Paper
Model-Based Measures of ELB Risk

The target range for the federal funds rate has increased a few times since its liftoff from the effective lower bound (ELB) in December 2015 and currently stands at 1 to 1-1/4 percent. According to standard macroeconomic models, ELB risk--how likely it is for the policy rate to be constrained by the ELB in the near- and medium-term future--has important implications for interest rate policy. In this note, I construct measures of ELB risk by combining survey-based projections of the U.S. economy with stochastic simulations of the FRB/US model, a large-scale model of the US economy maintained ...
FEDS Notes , Paper 2017-08-23

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Li, Geng 11 items

Sahm, Claudia R. 11 items

Tito, Maria D. 11 items

Bhutta, Neil 10 items

Ihrig, Jane E. 10 items

Volz, Alice Henriques 10 items

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