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Series:FEDS Notes 

Discussion Paper
Analyzing the Community Bank Leverage Ratio
http://fedora:8080/fcrepo/rest/objects/authors/; http://fedora:8080/fcrepo/rest/objects/authors/; Loudis, Bert (2020-05-26)
This note analyzes the newly introduced Community Bank Leverage Ratio ("CBLR") framework. The analysis covers the framework's eligibility, its capital stringency, and its potential impact on system-wide capital levels under a hypothetical adverse scenario.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2020-05-26-1

Discussion Paper
Auto Financing During and After the Great Recession
Meisenzahl, Ralf R. (2017-06-22)
More than half of auto financing is originated by non-bank finance companies that typically rely on short-term funding markets for their own financing. During the recent financial crisis, disruptions in these short-term financing markets reduced the availability of auto credit to consumers, which contributed to the decline in auto sales.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2017-06-22-2

Discussion Paper
Job Reallocation and Unemployment in Equilibrium
Weingarden, Alison E. (2017-04-20)
Job reallocation in the U.S.--the sum of job creation and job destruction across employers--has been declining over several decades. This piece looks at the relationship between job reallocation and the long-run rate of unemployment ("LRU") both theoretically and empirically. In this piece I show how declines in job reallocation can coincide with higher or lower unemployment– the sign and magnitude of the relationship is ambiguous.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2017-04-20-2

Discussion Paper
November 2014 Update of the FRB/US Model
Laforte, Jean-Philippe; Roberts, John M. (2014-11-21)
This FEDS Note is a companion to the most recent release of the FRB/US model of the U.S. economy available at http://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/frbus/us-models-about.htm. The purpose of this note is twofold. First, it briefly outlines and describes the changes to the structure of the public version of FRB/US since its introduction in the spring of 2014. In addition, it compares the dynamics of the current version to that of the original version in response to key shocks.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2014-11-21-2

Discussion Paper
The Impact of COVID-19 on Emerging Market Economies' Financial Conditions
Ahmed, Shaghil; Hoek, Jasper; Kamin, Steven B.; Smith, Ben; Yoldas, Emre (2020-10-07)
The emerging market economies (EMEs) – and the lower-income developing economies to an even greater extent – generally are extremely vulnerable to the COVID-19 pandemic. Many EMEs have weak public health systems, poor and financially vulnerable populations, inadequate social safety nets, limited monetary and especially fiscal policy space, and high exposure to global trade and commodity prices.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2020-10-07-1

Discussion Paper
Quantifying the COVID-19 Effects on Core PCE Price Inflation
Luciani, Matteo (2021-02-25)
The 12-month change in core PCE price inflation was 1.5 percent in December. Why was core inflation so low in 2020? How much of this weakness can be attributed to the COVID pandemic? And what does this mean for inflation going forward?
FEDS Notes , Paper 2021-02-25

Discussion Paper
Why is the Default Rate So Low? How Economic Conditions and Public Policies Have Shaped Mortgage and Auto Delinquencies During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Dettling, Lisa J.; Lambie-Hanson, Lauren (2021-03-04)
Delinquencies and defaults on household debt typically closely follow the business cycle. As economic conditions deteriorate, falling employment and incomes put a strain on family finances, leading to a rise in missed debt payments and defaults. Yet, against the backdrop of a historic rise in unemployment associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, delinquencies have fallen. This FEDS Note documents trends in delinquency on mortgages and auto loans during the COVID-19 pandemic, and unpacks how changes in economic conditions and public policies have been associated with borrowers’ debt repayment ...
FEDS Notes , Paper 2021-03-04-2

Discussion Paper
Will Household Expectations Follow Professional Forecasters'?
Massaro, Emily; Jorento, Daeus; Peneva, Ekaterina V. (2015-10-07)
In January 2012 the FOMC announced an explicit 2 percent objective for inflation as measured by the price index for Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE).
FEDS Notes , Paper 2015-10-07

Discussion Paper
Assessing Major Country Exposures of U.S. Banks Using 009a Data Reports: A Brexit Case Study
von Hafften, Alexander H. (2019-11-05)
This note describes an underutilized data source on international exposures of U.S. commercial banks and bank holding companies. As an example of the type of analyses these data permit, the note characterizes how banks' exposures to potential Brexit-related risks have changed since the U.K. referendum in June 2016.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2019-11-05

Discussion Paper
Tracking the Labor Market with "Big Data"
Cajner, Tomaz; Crane, Leland; Decker, Ryan; Hamins-Puertolas, Adrian; Kurz, Christopher J. (2019-09-20)
In our research, we explore the information content of the ADP microdata alone by producing an estimate of employment changes independent from the BLS payroll series as well as from other data sources.
FEDS Notes , Paper 2019-09-20-1

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