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Journal Article
An error-correction model of the long-term bond rate
Mehra, Yash P. (1994-10)
Economic Quarterly , Issue Fall , Pages 49-68

Journal Article
Short-term headline-core inflation dynamics
Mehra, Yash P.; Reilly, Devin (2009-07)
This article investigates empirically short-term dynamics between headline and core measures of consumer price index and personal consumption expenditure inflation over three sample periods: 1959:1-1979:1, 1979:2-2001:2, and 1985:1-2007:2. Headline and core inflation measures are co-integrated, suggesting long-run co-movement. However, the ways these two variables adjust to each other in the short run and generate co-movement have changed across these sample periods. In the pre-1979 sample period, when a positive gap opens up with headline inflation rising above core inflation, the gap is ...
Economic Quarterly , Volume 95 , Issue Sum , Pages 289-313

Journal Article
Using the term structure of interest rates for monetary policy
Goodfriend, Marvin (1998-07)
Economic Quarterly , Issue Sum , Pages 13-30

Journal Article
What can price theory say about the Community Reinvestment Act?
Walter, John R.; Lacy, Robert L. (2002-04)
Economic Quarterly , Issue Spr , Pages 1-27

Journal Article
Monitoring Economic Activity in Real Time Using Diffusion Indices: Evidence from the Fifth District
Waddell, Sonya Ravindranath; Sarte, Pierre-Daniel G.; Pinto, Santiago (2015-10)
We provide an analysis that parses out the conditions under which diffusion indices based on disaggregated information are informative about overall economic activity. Building on work by Pinto, Sarte, and Sharp (2015), we highlight the fact that diffusion indices, appropriately scaled, capture contributions of changes in the extensive margin -- e.g. how many sectors are growing or declining rather than by how much individual sectors are growing or declining -- to aggregate growth. In the Fifth Federal Reserve District, for example, this margin captures the bulk of variations in aggregate ...
Economic Quarterly , Issue 4Q , Pages 275-301

Journal Article
Survey measures of expected inflation : revisiting the issues of predictive content and rationality
Mehra, Yash P. (2002-07)
Economic Quarterly , Issue Sum , Pages 17-36

Journal Article
National productivity statistics
Webb, Roy H. (1998-01)
Economic Quarterly , Issue Win , Pages 45-64

Journal Article
The predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth
Dotsey, Michael (1998-07)
Economic Quarterly , Issue Sum , Pages 31-51

Journal Article
Non-stationarity and instability in small open-economy models even when they are \\"closed\\"
Lubik, Thomas A. (2007-10)
Economic Quarterly , Volume 93 , Issue Fall , Pages 393-412

Journal Article
Should central banks raise their inflation targets? Some relevant issues
McCallum, Bennett T. (2011-04)
Several arguments are relevant. (1) In the absence of the zero lower bound (ZLB), the optimal steady-state inflation rate, according to standard reasoning, lies between deflation at the steady-state real interest rate and the Calvo-model value of zero, with calibration indicating a larger weight on the latter. (2) An attractive modification of the Calvo equation would imply that the weight on the second of these should be zero. (3) There may be some scope for monetary policy to be effective even at the ZLB. (4) Elimination of currency is feasible and would remove the ZLB constraint. (5) ...
Economic Quarterly , Volume 97 , Issue 2Q , Pages 111-131

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