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Series:Economic Perspectives  Bank:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 

Journal Article
How does an increase in government purchases affect economy?

This article studies the impact on aggregate economic activity of increases in defense purchases which are unrelated to other developments in the economy. The authors use empirical evidence to evaluate the predictions of several prominent models.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 22 , Issue Q III , Pages 29-43

Journal Article
When can we forecast inflation?

This article reassesses recent work that has challenged the usefulness of inflation forecasts. The authors find that inflation forecasts were informative in 1977-84 and 1993-2000, but less informative in 1985-92. They also find that standard forecasting models, while generally poor at forecasting the magnitude of inflation, are good at forecasting the direction of change of inflation.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 26 , Issue Q I , Pages 32-44

Journal Article
Economic perspective on the political history of the Second Bank of the United States

The Second Bank of the United States was an institution of first-rank importance, both politically and economically, during the early nineteenth century. This article uses recent contributions to theory on industrial organization and monetary economics to argue tentatively that conflict between debtors and creditors may have played a larger role in the bank's fortunes than previously thought.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 27 , Issue Q I , Pages 59-67

Journal Article
Bankruptcy law and large complex financial organizations: a primer

Large complex financial organization (LCFOs) are exposed to multiple problems when they become insolvent. They operate in countries with different approaches to bankruptcy and, within the U.S., multiple insolvency administrators. The special financial instruments that comprise a substantial portion of LCFO assets are exempted from the usual "time out" that permits the orderly resolution of creditor claims. This situation is complicated by the opacity of LCFIs' positions, which may make them difficult to sell or unwind in times of financial crisis. This article discusses these issues and their ...
Economic Perspectives , Volume 27 , Issue Q I , Pages 48-58

Journal Article
Energy dependence and efficiency

Economic Perspectives , Volume 15 , Issue Sep , Pages 2-21

Journal Article
First year experience: Illinois multibanks shop carefully

Economic Perspectives , Volume 7 , Issue May

Journal Article
The electricity system at the crossroads--policy choices and pitfalls

Can electricity markets be successfully opened to competition? Events ranging from California's electricity crisis to the fall of electricity trading giant Enron have caused policymakers to reexamine the benefits of restructuring the industry. This article examines policy developments in the Midwest and highlights some lessons that might help guide future electricity policy.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 26 , Issue Q I , Pages 2-18

Journal Article
A New “Big Data” Index of U.S. Economic Activity

The authors present a new ?big data? index of U.S. economic activity that can be used to track business and inflation cycles in real time and estimate monthly real gross domestic product growth.
Economic Perspectives , Issue 1 , Pages 1-30

Journal Article
Financial industry deregulation in the 1980s

Economic Perspectives , Volume 9 , Issue Sep , Pages 3-5

Journal Article
1980 developments in rural credit markets

Economic Perspectives , Volume 5 , Issue Jan




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