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Series:Working Paper 

Working Paper
Labor-Market Uncertainty and Portfolio Choice Puzzles

The standard theory of household-portfolio choice is hard to reconcile with the following facts: (i) Households hold a small amount of equity despite the higher average rate of return. (ii) The share of risky assets increases with the age of the household. (iii) The share of risky assets is disproportionately larger for richer households. We develop a life-cycle model with age-dependent unemployment risk and gradual learning about the income profile that can address all three puzzles. Young workers, on average asset poor, face larger labor-market uncertainty because of high unemployment risk ...
Working Paper , Paper 14-13

Working Paper
Relative Price Shocks and Inflation

Inflation is determined by interaction between real factors and monetary policy. Among the most important real factors are shocks to the supply and demand for different components of the consumption basket. We use an estimated multi-sector New Keynesian model to decompose the behavior of U.S. inflation into contributions from sectoral (or "relative price") shocks, monetary policy shocks, and aggregate real shocks. The model is estimated by maximum likelihood with U.S. data for the post-1994 period in which inflation and the monetary policy regime appeared to be stable. In addition to ...
Working Paper , Paper 22-07

Working Paper
Scope economies: fixed costs, complementarity, and functional form

Bank scope economies have been derived from either the standard or generalized (Box-Cox) multiproduct translog (or other logarithmic) functional form. Reported results have ranged from strong economies to diseconomies and are far from conclusive. The problem is functional form. An alternative composite form is shown to yield stable SCOPE results both at the usual point of evaluation and for points associated with quasi-specialized production (QSCOPE). Unstable results are obtained for the other forms. Scope economies are shown to exist for large U.S. banks in 1988 and to depend on the number ...
Working Paper , Paper 91-03

Working Paper
Uncertain inflation, systematic risk, and the capital asset pricing model

The Sharpe-Linter two parameter Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) has been the basis for an extraordinary amount of theoretical and empirical work. As originally developed, the CAPM did not explicitly account for the effects of uncertain inflation on asset prices.
Working Paper , Paper 78-02

Working Paper
The Labor Market Effects of Place-Based Policies: Evidence from England’s Neighbourhood Renewal Fund

Neighborhood renewal programs are a type of place-based policy that aim to revive underperforming localities. The literature on place-based policies has found mixed results regarding their effects on local labor market outcomes, but there are relatively few studies of policies that aim to improve local labor supply. In this paper, we examine the labor market effects of the Neighbourhood Renewal Fund, which targeted eighty-eight of the most deprived areas in England during the early 2000s as part of the Labour Government's National Strategy for Neighbourhood Renewal. The fund disbursed almost ...
Working Paper , Paper 22-02

Working Paper
The Cost of Information in the Blockchain: A Discussion of Routledge and Zetlin-Jones

The volatility of crypto currencies hinders their ability to be media of exchange or stores of value, leading to the implementation of exchange-rate pegs in an attempt to stabilize these currencies. This strategy has been used by crypto currencies such as US Dollar Tether, Steem Backed Dollar and TrueUSD; and was previously adopted in countries such as Brazil, Mexico and Argentina. However, an exchangerate peg is vulnerable to speculative attacks if it is not 100% backed by reserves, as discussed in Obstfeld (1996). Using insights from the bank-run literature, Routledge and Zetlin-Jones ...
Working Paper , Paper 21-02

Working Paper
The effects of cash management practices on the demand for demand deposits

During the mid-1970s standard regressions explaining the demand for money underwent a well documented shift. This shift was largely attributed to the adoption of a more sophisticated methods of cash management practices by firms. ; A version of this work was published in the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond's Economic Review, 1984, Vol. 70, No. 5
Working Paper , Paper 83-02

Working Paper
The bond rate and actual future inflation

The long-term bond rate is cointegrated with the actual one-period inflation rate during two sample periods, 1961Q1 to 1979Q3 and 1961Q1 to 1995Q4. This result indicates that in the long run the bond rate and actual inflation move together. The nature of short-run dynamic adjustments between these variables has, however, changed over time. In the pre-1979 period, when the bond rate rose above the one-period inflation rate, actual inflation accelerated. In the post-1979 period, however, the bond rate reverted back and actual inflation did not accelerate. Thus, the bond rate signaled future ...
Working Paper , Paper 97-03

Working Paper
Interest rate expectations and the demand for short-term business credit

Short-term credit plays an essential part in the business financing process. In view of its importance in the nation's credit structure, the market for short-term business credit receives a great deal of attention from financial analysts.
Working Paper , Paper 77-02

Working Paper
Measures of saving as indicators of economic growth

This paper contends that National Income Accounts (NIA) saving rates have been sending out misleading signals about the U.S. economy in the 1980s. The individuals' saving rate from the flow-of-funds accounts (FFA) is shown to be a much better indicator of resources available for future economic growth.
Working Paper , Paper 90-09

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Hornstein, Andreas 33 items

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