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Working Paper
Crisis, contagion, and country funds: effects on East Asia and Latin America
Schmukler, Sergio L.; Frankel, Jeffrey A. (1996)
Spillovers effects, from one country or region to other countries and regions, have attracted renewed attention in the aftermath of the Mexican crisis of December 1994. This paper uses data on closed-end country funds to study how a negative shock in Mexican equities is transmitted to Asia and Latin America, and to particular countries within each region. Country funds allow us to study the transmission to other fund net asset values (NAVs) and prices, which are traded in local stock markets in New York, respectively. The evidence indicates that shocks such as the Mexican crisis produce ...
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 96-04

Working Paper
Structural changes and the scope of inflation targeting in Korea
Choi, Gongpil (2001)
A small, open macroeconomic model that accounts for new financial accelerator effects (the effects of fluctuations in asset prices on bank credit and economic activity) is developed to evaluate various policy rules for inflation targeting. Given conditions in asset markets and the fragility of the financial sector, monetary policy responses can potentially amplify the financial accelerator effect. Simulations are used to compare various forms of inflation targeting using a model that emphasizes long-term inflation expectations, output changes, and the asset price channels. The simulations ...
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 2001-05

Working Paper
Currency speculation and the optimum control of bank lending in Singapore dollar: a case of partial liberalization
Chan, Kenneth S.; Ngiam, Kee-Jin (1996)
The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has a long-standing policy of controlling bank lending in Singapore dollars to nonresidents and to residents who use the funds outside Singapore. While the control may prevent the internationalization of the Singapore dollar and contain exchange rate volatility, it can hinder the deepening and widening of the financial markets in Singapore. ; This paper suggests three policy options that would allow traders and investors to borrow Singapore dollars without any restrictions, while making it costly for speculators since their activities can cause ...
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 96-06

Working Paper
Is it true that insurers benefit from a catastrophic event? Market reactions to the 1995 Hanshin-Awaji earthquake
Kobayashi, Takeshi; Yamori, Nobuyoshi (1999)
Previous studies, investigating how the market in general viewed the impact of a big earthquake (e.g., the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Area) on insurance firm values, found a positive reaction of insurers' stock prices. This "gaining from loss" may be caused by the subsequent increased demand for insurance coverage. This paper investigates the impact of the 1995 Hanshin-Awaji earthquake on Japanese insurers' value. Contrary to the results for U.S. earthquakes, we find significant negative stock price reactions. Furthermore, our results demonstrate that Japanese ...
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 99-04

Working Paper
Globalization, locational innovation and East Asian development
Kasper, Wolfgang (1991)
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 91-02

Working Paper
Bank charter value and the viability of the Japanese convoy system
Spiegel, Mark M. (1999)
This paper compares the performance of a convoy banking system, similar to that which prevailed in Japan, to a fixed-premium deposit insurance regime. Under this system, failed banks are merged with healthy banks, rather than closed, so that the banking system itself provides the safety net for guaranteed deposits. While neither regime is generally preferable over the other, the results show that the performance of the convoy system is more sensitive to changes in bank charter values and the overall health of the banking system. The recent breakdown of the convoy system may therefore be ...
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 99-06

Working Paper
Speculative capital inflows and exchange rate targeting in the Pacific Basin
Kletzer, Kenneth M.; Spiegel, Mark M. (1996)
This paper studies the process of capital inflow management and speculative inflows for countries pursuing the joint goals of monetary and exchange rate management. We introduce a sticky-price model with imperfect asset substitutability in which a central bank engages in costly sterilization to mitigate the influence of capital inflows on its policy targets. The costs of sterilization, often referred to as "quasi-fiscal costs" in the literature, reflect the loss experienced by the central bank by holding foreign securities whose nominal yields are inferior to those paid on domestic bonds. ...
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 96-05

Working Paper
Is pegging the exchange rate a cure for inflation? East Asian experiences
Glick, Reuven; Hutchison, Michael M. (1995)
A common argument for pegging the exchange rate is that it enforces discipline on domestic monetary policy, thus stabilizing inflation expectations. This paper argues that this reasoning does not necessarily apply to East Asia, as the nominal exchange rate pegging policies of these economies are not the explanation for their low inflation. On the contrary, since 1985, those economies whose currencies have appreciated less against the U.S. dollar have tended to experience higher inflation. Factors other than pegging, such as rapid growth, sustainable budget deficits, and relative openness ...
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 95-08

Working Paper
The role of the exchange rate in New Zealand monetary policy
Grimes, Arthur (1992)
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 93-03

Working Paper
Korean banks' responses to the strengthening of capital adequacy requirements
Song, Inwon (1998)
The purpose of this paper is to examine Korean banks' responses to the Basle risk-weighted capital adequacy requirements implemented in 1993. The analysis indicates that while some cosmetic adjustments might have been made by partial recognition of unrealized stock losses and expected loan losses, efforts to increase capital in ways that effectively reduced risk exposure seemed to dominate the response to strengthened capital requirements. The analysis also suggests the advisability of supplementing risk-based capital requirements with leverage restrictions. The analysis also raises the ...
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 98-01

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