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Journal Article
Did Communicating a Numerical Inflation Target Anchor U.S. Inflation Expectations?
Bundick, Brent; Smith, Andrew Lee (2018-01-17)
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Forecasting the Stance of Monetary Policy under Balance Sheet Adjustments
Davig, Troy A.; Smith, Andrew Lee (2017-05-10)
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Estimating the monetary policy rule perceived by forecasters
Bundick, Brent (2015-12-28)
Brent Bundick examines whether the FOMC?s implicit monetary policy rule, as perceived by professional forecasters, changed when the federal funds rate reached its effective lower bound.
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Opportunity knocks: improved matching of jobs and workers
Willis, Jonathan L.; Tuzemen, Didem (2015-05-13)
Tzemen and Willis illustrate that over the past year, workers found jobs more closely matched to their educational attainment.
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Changing Credit Profile of Consumers: Aging Versus the Business Cycle
Doh, Taeyoung (2017-10-18)
The average consumer credit score reached a record high recently. While some commentators attributed this development to the cyclical rebound from the Great Recession, I find that the changing age distribution of credit applicants also played a significant role. Changes in demographics alone can explain 43 percent of the increase in the average score from 1999:Q1 to 2017:Q2.
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
The shadow labor supply and its implications for the unemployment rate
Mustre-del-Rio, Jose; Davig, Troy A. (2013-08)
The number of people wanting work, but not looking for a job, has swelled in recent years. However, their flow rate back into unemployment has been declining, so they will likely only have a modest impact on the unemployment rate.
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Accounting for changes in the U.S. budget deficit
Redmond, Michael; Davig, Troy A. (2014-12-04)
Troy Davig and Michael Redmond gauge the contributions of three factors to the declining U.S. federal budget deficit.
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
What Could Resurging U.S. Energy Production Mean for the U.S. Trade Deficit?
Nie, Jun; Cakir Melek, Nida (2018-03-07)
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Evaluating monetary policy at the zero lower bound.
Hakkio, Craig S.; Kahn, George A. (2014-07-21)
Macro Bulletin

Journal Article
Has the effect of monetary policy announcements on asset prices changed?
Doh, Taeyoung; Connolly, Michael (2013-09)
The Federal Reserve has increased communication about the future path of the federal funds target rate over time. The use of forward guidance as a policy tool has raised questions about changes in how it influences the economy.
Macro Bulletin

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