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Journal Article
New uses for new macro derivatives
Wolfers, Justin
(2006)
Economic forecasters often look to the performance of futures markets to help predict such economic developments as movements in the price of oil and other commodities. In addition, relatively new financial market instruments, like TIPS, help policymakers get a handle on the public's inflation expectations. ; In the last few years, derivatives markets involving bets on future economic events have emerged. In October 2002, Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank joined forces to form a market in what they call "Economic Derivatives." More recently, other U.S.-based markets have been created for ...
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Future recession risks
Jordà, Òscar; Berge, Travis J.
(2010)
An unstable economic environment has rekindled talk of a double-dip recession. The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index provides data for predicting the probability of a recession but is limited by the weight assigned to its indicators and the varying efficacy of those indicators over different time horizons. Statistical experiments with LEI data can mitigate these limitations and suggest that a recessionary relapse is a significant possibility sometime in the next two years.
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
The mortgage meltdown, financial markets, and the economy
Yellen, Janet L.
(2008)
This Economic Letter is adapted from a speech delivered by Janet L. Yellen, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, on October 30, 2008, to the UC Berkeley-UCLA Symposium "The Mortgage Meltdown, the Economy, and Public Policy," at the University of California, Berkeley.
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Boom year in the West
Gorham, Michael; Levy, Yvonne; Burke, William
(1978)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Turbulent but profitable
Wilson, Ruth
(1980)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
What certificates pay
Judd, John P.
(1978)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
The economic outlook for 1989
Parry, Robert T.
(1988)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Comeback for steel?
Levy, Yvonne
(1973)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Where's the recovery?
Trenholme, Karen J.; Cromwell, Brian A.
(1992)
FRBSF Economic Letter
Journal Article
Productivity in the Twelfth District
Wilson, Daniel J.
(2002)
FRBSF Economic Letter
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