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Series:Economic Synopses 

Journal Article
The Rising Federal Funds Rate in the Current Low Long-Term Interest Rate Environment

The low long-term yield is likely a result of high foreign demand for Treasuries rather than a near-zero federal funds rate.
Economic Synopses , Issue 10 , Pages 1-2

Journal Article
Current risks from exports and foreign sales

Consistent with national data, foreign sales of affiliates of U.S. multinational firms headquartered in the Eight Federal Reserve District are larger for Europe and the Asia Pacific region?not Mexico and Canada, the major U.S. trading partners.
Economic Synopses

Journal Article
Measuring Market-Based Inflation Expectations

TIPS offer a hedge against inflation risks, so demand for these securities may be up because investors are worried about longer-run inflation.
Economic Synopses , Issue 6 , Pages 1-2

Journal Article
International Trade Dependence and Inventory Dynamics

US manufacturers that source their intermediate inputs from abroad have been more likely to increase their inventories in the aftermath of unexpected events and heightened uncertainty.
Economic Synopses , Issue 17 , Pages 3 pages

Journal Article
Is the FOMC’s policy inflating asset prices?

Keeping the policy rate significantly and persistently below "long-run equilibrium rates" may inflate asset prices.
Economic Synopses

Journal Article
Possible Fiscal Policies for Rare, Unanticipated, and Severe Viral Outbreaks

What should guide a fiscal authority in conducting macroeconomic policy in the event of a severe viral outbreak?
Economic Synopses , Issue 6

Journal Article
The COVID-19 New Business Boom

Business applications increased across all sectors in the 12 months after February 2020, but the retail trade sector saw the largest increase.
Economic Synopses , Issue 6 , Pages 1-2

Journal Article
Okun's law in recession and recovery

The relationship between unemployment and output growth changes during recoveries.
Economic Synopses

Journal Article
The efficacy of monetary policy: a tale from two decades

Little difference in economic performance during the past two decades?is consistent with the theoretical and empirical evidence that monetary policy has no permanent effect on real variables.
Economic Synopses

Journal Article
Predicting the Yield Curve Inversions that Predict Recessions: Part 2

Expectations of housing market conditions should be considered when forecasting recessions.
Economic Synopses , Issue 10

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Thornton, Daniel L. 38 items

Kliesen, Kevin L. 34 items

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Ravikumar, B. 23 items

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