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Working Paper
Assessing the macroeconomic impact of bank intermediation shocks: a structural approach
Chen, Kaiji; Zha, Tao
(2015-08-01)
We take a structural approach to assessing the empirical importance of shocks to the supply of bank-intermediated credit in affecting macroeconomic fluctuations. First, we develop a theoretical model to show how credit supply shocks can be transmitted into disruptions in the production economy. Second, we use the unique micro-banking data to identify and support the model's key mechanism. Third, we find that the output effect of credit supply shocks is not only economically and statistically significant but also consistent with the vector autogression evidence. Our mode estimation indicates ...
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
, Paper 2015-8
Working Paper
Technological change in large U.S. commercial banks
Hunter, William C.; Timme, Stephen G.
(1988)
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
, Paper 88-6
Working Paper
Discussion of Preston, \"Learning about monetary policy rules when long-horizon expectations matter\"
Honkapohja, Seppo
(2003)
The design of interest rate rules for conducting monetary policy have recently been examined for two key concerns. The first issue is determinacy of equilibria. Indeterminacy (multiplicity of stationary rational expectations equilibria) is a concern in models of monopolistic competition and price stickiness are currently a popular framework for the study of monetary policy. The second issue is stability of equilibria under adaptive learning. Some interest rate rules do not perform well when the expectations of the agents get out of equilibrium, e.g. as a result of structural shifts.
FRB Atlanta Working Paper
, Paper 2003-19
Working Paper
Underlying determinants of closed-bank resolution costs
Osterberg, William P.; Thomson, James B.
(1994)
An analysis of the issues surrounding bank resolution costs, looking at failures from 1986 to 1992 and including proxies for fraud, off-balance-sheet risk, brokered deposits, and both regional and size effects. Evidence suggests there was a significant lag between the realization and recognition of losses on bank assets, and that regulators may have practiced forbearance.
Working Papers (Old Series)
, Paper 9403
Working Paper
Predictive Modeling of Surveyed Property Conditions and Vacancy
Richter, Francisca; Urban, Apirl Hirsh; Oduro, Isaac; Whitaker, Stephan; Martin, Hal
(2016-12-23)
Using the results of a comprehensive in-person survey of properties in Cleveland, Ohio, we fit predictive models of vacancy and property conditions. We draw predictor variables from administrative data that is available in most jurisdictions such as deed recordings, tax assessor?s property characteristics, and foreclosure filings. Using logistic regression and machine learning methods, we are able to make reasonably accurate out-of-sample predictions. Our findings indicate that housing professionals could use administrative data and predictive models to identify distressed properties between ...
Working Papers (Old Series)
, Paper 1637
Working Paper
Earnings and wealth inequality and income taxation: quantifying the tradeoffs of switching to a proportional income tax in the U.S.
Castaneda, Ana; Azariadis, Costas; Ambrose, Brent W.
(1998)
This paper quantifies the steady-state aggregate, distributional, and mobility effects of switching the U.S. to a proportional income tax system.
Working Papers (Old Series)
, Paper 9814
Working Paper
Fixed-premium deposit insurance and international credit crunches
Spiegel, Mark M.
(1994)
We introduce a monopolistically-competitive model of foreign lending in which both explicit and implicit fixed-premium deposit insurance increase the degree to which bank participation in relending to problem debtors falls below its globally optimal level. This provides a channel for fixed-premium deposit insurance to inhibit credit extension in bad states, resulting in an increase in the expected default percentage and an increase in the expected burden on the deposit insurance institution.
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory
, Paper 94-19
Working Paper
Mortgage Choice in the Housing Boom: Impacts of House Price Appreciation and Borrower Type
Furlong, Frederick T.; Takhtamanova, Yelena; Lang, David
(2014-01)
The U.S. housing boom during the first part of the past decade was marked by rapid house price appreciation and greater access to mortgage credit for lower credit-rated borrowers. The subsequent collapse of the housing market and the high default rates on residential mortgages raise the issue of whether the pace of house price appreciation and the mix of borrowers may have affected the influence of fundamentals in housing and mortgage markets. This paper examines that issue in connection with one aspect of mortgage financing, the choice among fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages. This ...
Working Paper Series
, Paper 2014-5
Working Paper
Time-varying U.S. inflation dynamics and the New-Keynesian Phillips curve
Lansing, Kevin J.
(2006)
This paper introduces a form of boundedly-rational expectations into an otherwise standard New-Keynesian Phillips curve. The representative agent's forecast rule is optimal (in the sense of minimizing mean squared forecast errors), conditional on a perceived law of motion for inflation and observed moments of the inflation time series. The perceived law of motion allows for both temporary and permanent shocks to inflation, the latter intended to capture the possibility of evolving shifts in the central bank's inflation target. In this case, the agent's optimal forecast rule defined by the ...
Working Paper Series
, Paper 2006-15
Working Paper
The magnitude and cyclical behavior of financial market frictions
Zakrajšek, Egon; Natalucci, Fabio M.; Levin, Andrew T.
(2004)
We quantify the cross-sectional and time-series behavior of the wedge between the cost of external and internal finance by estimating the structural parameters of a canonical debt-contracting model with informational frictions. For this purpose, we construct a new dataset that includes balance sheet information, measures of expected default risk, and credit spreads on publicly traded debt for about 900 U.S. firms over the period 1997Q1 to 2003Q3. Using nonlinear least squares, we obtain precise time-specific estimates of the bankruptcy cost parameter and consistently reject the null ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
, Paper 2004-70
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R3 23 items
D85 22 items
H23 22 items
H71 22 items
H81 22 items
I23 22 items
J32 22 items
K35 22 items
R20 22 items
R38 22 items
C50 21 items
D21 21 items
D86 21 items
F47 21 items
I10 21 items
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J2 21 items
J26 21 items
J41 21 items
J60 21 items
R33 21 items
C18 20 items
C21 20 items
C24 20 items
C5 20 items
C78 20 items
G41 20 items
H75 20 items
I21 20 items
I28 20 items
N20 20 items
E66 19 items
F45 19 items
F60 19 items
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I26 19 items
J3 19 items
J6 19 items
L16 19 items
C31 18 items
D11 18 items
D30 18 items
E71 18 items
F22 18 items
R51 18 items
C30 17 items
D58 17 items
D62 17 items
H12 17 items
N21 17 items
O13 17 items
O14 17 items
O3 17 items
C43 16 items
G02 16 items
G52 16 items
H0 16 items
H55 16 items
I1 16 items
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J18 16 items
O10 16 items
C25 15 items
C3 15 items
C62 15 items
C73 15 items
C8 15 items
C80 15 items
D60 15 items
H41 15 items
H50 15 items
L1 15 items
N32 15 items
O30 15 items
O38 15 items
Q35 15 items
Q41 15 items
D13 14 items
D61 14 items
E02 14 items
G40 14 items
G53 14 items
J08 14 items
J1 14 items
L23 14 items
L81 14 items
O15 14 items
Q40 14 items
R13 14 items
R41 14 items
C26 13 items
F65 13 items
H2 13 items
H22 13 items
H32 13 items
J10 13 items
J38 13 items
K42 13 items
O50 13 items
R28 13 items
D8 12 items
F37 12 items
H3 12 items
H74 12 items
I20 12 items
L40 12 items
L51 12 items
M41 12 items
N1 12 items
O43 12 items
P16 12 items
R50 12 items
C72 11 items
D1 11 items
D4 11 items
E7 11 items
E70 11 items
F17 11 items
F6 11 items
G35 11 items
H53 11 items
H7 11 items
I11 11 items
J12 11 items
J33 11 items
N92 11 items
A14 10 items
C1 10 items
C54 10 items
F38 10 items
F51 10 items
J42 10 items
J7 10 items
J71 10 items
L20 10 items
L21 10 items
L85 10 items
N11 10 items
Q51 10 items
C34 9 items
C6 9 items
C60 9 items
D25 9 items
F63 9 items
H6 9 items
H72 9 items
H73 9 items
L2 9 items
L60 9 items
M12 9 items
O19 9 items
O24 9 items
O51 9 items
R0 9 items
R1 9 items
R2 9 items
C01 8 items
D33 8 items
D42 8 items
D74 8 items
E0 8 items
E49 8 items
H52 8 items
H60 8 items
H77 8 items
J14 8 items
J68 8 items
J70 8 items
L62 8 items
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L91 8 items
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Q56 8 items
R4 8 items
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A11 7 items
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L22 7 items
M13 7 items
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O34 7 items
Q33 7 items
R00 7 items
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R32 7 items
R40 7 items
R58 7 items
A19 6 items
C4 6 items
C87 6 items
C91 6 items
C93 6 items
D47 6 items
D57 6 items
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D78 6 items
E26 6 items
F02 6 items
G29 6 items
H1 6 items
H4 6 items
H5 6 items
H51 6 items
I2 6 items
J44 6 items
L5 6 items
L50 6 items
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M37 6 items
N4 6 items
O12 6 items
Q32 6 items
Q48 6 items
Q53 6 items
Q58 6 items
B4 5 items
C00 5 items
D0 5 items
D19 5 items
D23 5 items
D41 5 items
E59 5 items
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G19 5 items
H11 5 items
H40 5 items
H57 5 items
J28 5 items
J46 5 items
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L41 5 items
M48 5 items
M51 5 items
M55 5 items
N42 5 items
O17 5 items
O25 5 items
R42 5 items
R5 5 items
A1 4 items
B0 4 items
B41 4 items
C35 4 items
C44 4 items
C46 4 items
C67 4 items
C92 4 items
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K21 4 items
K40 4 items
L0 4 items
L12 4 items
L15 4 items
L24 4 items
L63 4 items
N31 4 items
N90 4 items
O2 4 items
O23 4 items
O44 4 items
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Q42 4 items
Q5 4 items
A13 3 items
C02 3 items
C19 3 items
C88 3 items
C99 3 items
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FILTER BY Keywords
Monetary policy 943 items
Business cycles 466 items
Econometric models 447 items
Inflation (Finance) 421 items
Interest rates 367 items
Prices 258 items
Foreign exchange rates 255 items
Forecasting 238 items
Risk 192 items
Unemployment 190 items
Wages 190 items
monetary policy 188 items
COVID-19 181 items
Productivity 175 items
Labor market 159 items
International trade 155 items
Taxation 152 items
Bank loans 151 items
Fiscal policy 149 items
Financial markets 148 items
Money 139 items
Macroeconomics 137 items
Consumption (Economics) 130 items
Banks and banking 126 items
time series analysis 119 items
Financial crises 118 items
Credit 117 items
Money supply 112 items
Mortgages 110 items
Inflation 107 items
Bank capital 106 items
International finance 105 items
Stock - Prices 105 items
Labor supply 103 items
Stock market 101 items
Investments 99 items
Liquidity (Economics) 98 items
Debt 96 items
Employment (Economic theory) 96 items
Housing 92 items
Foreign exchange 90 items
Economic development 89 items
inflation 89 items
Phillips curve 88 items
Japan 86 items
Monetary policy - United States 86 items
Employment 85 items
Bankruptcy 84 items
Rational expectations (Economic theory) 83 items
Bank failures 82 items
Capital 82 items
Income 82 items
Payment systems 80 items
Asset pricing 78 items
Consumer behavior 76 items
Technology 76 items
Bank supervision 75 items
Regional economics 75 items
Monetary Policy 74 items
Banks and banking, Central 73 items
Financial institutions 73 items
Trade 73 items
Bank mergers 72 items
Saving and investment 72 items
Mortgage loans 71 items
Education 68 items
Consumer credit 67 items
fiscal policy 67 items
Econometrics 66 items
Uncertainty 66 items
Deposit insurance 65 items
Human capital 64 items
Risk management 62 items
Wealth 62 items
unemployment 62 items
Inequality 60 items
Equilibrium (Economics) 59 items
Federal Reserve 59 items
Financial stability 58 items
inequality 58 items
Bonds 57 items
Competition 57 items
business cycles 57 items
Vector autoregression 56 items
Manufactures 55 items
Monetary theory 55 items
Economic forecasting 54 items
Production (Economic theory) 54 items
Bank reserves 52 items
Welfare 52 items
Income distribution 51 items
Corporations - Finance 50 items
Credit cards 50 items
Great Recession 50 items
Housing - Prices 50 items
Stocks 49 items
Capital movements 47 items
Labor productivity 47 items
liquidity 47 items
Liquidity 46 items
Banks and banking - Costs 45 items
Inventories 45 items
Small business 45 items
China 44 items
Social security 44 items
Incomplete Markets 43 items
Bank competition 42 items
Banking market 42 items
Exports 42 items
productivity 42 items
Recessions 41 items
Developing countries 40 items
Mexico 40 items
Gross domestic product 39 items
consumption 39 items
Bank deposits 38 items
Banks 37 items
Capital market 37 items
Foreign exchange - Law and legislation 37 items
Regulation 37 items
Securities 37 items
forecasting 37 items
zero lower bound 37 items
Banking 36 items
human capital 36 items
international trade 36 items
options 36 items
Foreclosure 35 items
Derivative securities 34 items
Federal Open Market Committee 34 items
Futures 34 items
Investments, Foreign 34 items
Systemic risk 34 items
Dollar, American 33 items
Germany 33 items
Insurance 33 items
Ramsey Problem 33 items
Savings and loan associations 33 items
Bank holding companies 32 items
Consumption 32 items
Default 32 items
Federal funds rate 32 items
Keynesian economics 32 items
capital asset pricing model 32 items
employment 32 items
uncertainty 32 items
Balance of payments 31 items
Economics 31 items
Default (Finance) 30 items
Federal funds market (United States) 30 items
Government securities 30 items
financial frictions 30 items
Money theory 29 items
Expenditures, Public 28 items
Immigrants 28 items
Income tax 28 items
Poverty 28 items
Retirement 28 items
financial crisis 28 items
interest rates 28 items
welfare 28 items
Banking structure 27 items
Covid-19 27 items
Financial crisis 27 items
Petroleum industry and trade 27 items
Subprime mortgage 27 items
financial stability 27 items
inflation expectations 27 items
Capital investments 26 items
Economies of scale 26 items
Heterogeneous Agents 26 items
Real-time data 26 items
banks 26 items
economic conditions - United States 26 items
labor supply 26 items
Contracts 25 items
Depressions 25 items
Emerging markets 25 items
Financial services industry 25 items
Heterogeneous agents 25 items
Open market operations 25 items
Tariff 25 items
consumer credit 25 items
Asia 24 items
Asset-backed financing 24 items
Bayesian estimation 24 items
Business Cycles 24 items
Federal Reserve System 24 items
Globalization 24 items
Household finance 24 items
Inflation targeting 24 items
Mortgage 24 items
Research and development 24 items
misallocation 24 items
pandemic 24 items
Demography 23 items
Game theory 23 items
Investment 23 items
Labor mobility 23 items
Markets 23 items
Pensions 23 items
Sovereign default 23 items
Statistics 23 items
Stock exchanges 23 items
Unemployment insurance 23 items
Zero lower bound 23 items
bond markets 23 items
education 23 items
heterogeneous agents 23 items
Corporate bonds 22 items
Emigration and immigration 22 items
Fiscal Policy 22 items
Great Britain 22 items
Gross national product 22 items
Households - Economic aspects 22 items
International economic relations 22 items
Loans 22 items
Volatility 22 items
housing 22 items
Bank lending 21 items
Clearinghouses (Banking) 21 items
Demand for money 21 items
Hedging (Finance) 21 items
Industries 21 items
forward guidance 21 items
heterogeneity 21 items
house prices 21 items
mortgage 21 items
mortgages 21 items
small business finance 21 items
Balance of trade 20 items
Business enterprises 20 items
Debts, Public 20 items
Discount window 20 items
Forward guidance 20 items
Latin America 20 items
Macroeconomics - Econometric models 20 items
Real property 20 items
Surveys 20 items
high-frequency data 20 items
local projections 20 items
state finances 20 items
wages 20 items
Automobile industry and trade 19 items
Discrimination in mortgage loans 19 items
Economic conditions 19 items
Education - Economic aspects 19 items
Effective lower bound 19 items
Global financial crisis 19 items
Housing - Finance 19 items
Industrial productivity 19 items
Information theory 19 items
Learning 19 items
Macroprudential policy 19 items
Mutual funds 19 items
Patents 19 items
Population 19 items
climate change 19 items
credit cards 19 items
discretion 19 items
exchange rates 19 items
financial crises 19 items
quantitative easing 19 items
Branch banks 18 items
Commercial real estate 18 items
Computers 18 items
Consumer price indexes 18 items
Discrimination 18 items
Finance 18 items
Free trade 18 items
Information technology 18 items
Medicaid 18 items
Misallocation 18 items
Pricing 18 items
Rate of return 18 items
Technology - Economic aspects 18 items
Treasury bills 18 items
bank lending 18 items
fintech 18 items
labor markets 18 items
Argentina 17 items
Bank management 17 items
Banks and banking, International 17 items
Bayesian methods 17 items
Budget deficits 17 items
Cities and towns 17 items
Climate change 17 items
Collateral 17 items
Corporate governance 17 items
Debts, External 17 items
East Asia 17 items
Economic growth 17 items
Economic policy 17 items
Entrepreneurship 17 items
Government-sponsored enterprises 17 items
Hours of labor 17 items
Human Capital 17 items
Human behavior 17 items
Imports 17 items
Inflation expectations 17 items
Minimum wage 17 items
Mortgage-backed securities 17 items
Pacific Area 17 items
Power resources - Prices 17 items
Price levels 17 items
Stochastic analysis 17 items
Taylor's rule 17 items
banking 17 items
default 17 items
investment 17 items
job search 17 items
machine learning 17 items
mobility 17 items
real-time data 17 items
recession 17 items
regulation 17 items
trade 17 items
unemployment insurance 17 items
Cointegration 16 items
European Economic Community 16 items
FOMC 16 items
Financial Frictions 16 items
Financial crises - Asia 16 items
Home ownership 16 items
North American Free Trade Agreement 16 items
Pandemic 16 items
Petroleum products - Prices 16 items
Portfolio management 16 items
Recession 16 items
Search 16 items
Unconventional monetary policy 16 items
credit supply 16 items
government debt 16 items
innovation 16 items
policy 16 items
systemic risk 16 items
taxation 16 items
Arbitrage 15 items
Bank Lending 15 items
Bank investments 15 items
Bank profits 15 items
Bank stocks 15 items
Bayesian VARs 15 items
Bayesian inference 15 items
Business cycle 15 items
Checks 15 items
Credit supply 15 items
Crises 15 items
DSGE models 15 items
Economic indicators 15 items
Growth 15 items
Housing policy 15 items
Incomplete information 15 items
Internet 15 items
Mobility 15 items
Monetary policy - Japan 15 items
Over-the-counter markets 15 items
Sovereign Debt 15 items
Structural VAR 15 items
Taylor rule 15 items
Unemployment Insurance 15 items
credit constraints 15 items
emerging markets 15 items
firm dynamics 15 items
fiscal multipliers 15 items
growth 15 items
household finances 15 items
identification 15 items
migration 15 items
stochastic volatility 15 items
vacancies 15 items
Aggregate risk 14 items
Automated tellers 14 items
Beveridge curve 14 items
Canada 14 items
Community development 14 items
Consolidation and merger of corporations 14 items
Corporations 14 items
Credit unions 14 items
Economic stabilization 14 items
European Monetary System (Organization) 14 items
Expectations 14 items
Great Depression 14 items
Housing boom 14 items
Job Search 14 items
Korea 14 items
Labor turnover 14 items
Labor unions 14 items
Medical care 14 items
Medicare 14 items
Mortgages and credit 14 items
Phillips Curve 14 items
Public policy 14 items
Regression analysis 14 items
Seasonal variations (Economics) 14 items
debt 14 items
financial distress 14 items
insurance 14 items
intermediation 14 items
technology adoption 14 items
time-consistency 14 items
volatility 14 items
Banks and banking - History 13 items
Banks and banking - Japan 13 items
Bayesian Estimation 13 items
Bayesian statistical decision theory 13 items
Credit scoring systems 13 items
Discount 13 items
Financial literacy 13 items
Flow of funds 13 items
GDP growth 13 items
Geography 13 items
Homeownership 13 items
Immigration 13 items
Indexation (Economics) 13 items
Industrial location 13 items
Information 13 items
Insurance, Health 13 items
Interbank market 13 items
Monetary policy implementation 13 items
Moral hazard 13 items
Optimal taxation 13 items
R&D 13 items
Retail trade 13 items
Securitization 13 items
Spillovers 13 items
Stocks - Rate of return 13 items
Swaps (Finance) 13 items
capital flows 13 items
credit spreads 13 items
deficit 13 items
expectations 13 items
immigration 13 items
income inequality 13 items
inference 13 items
institutional design 13 items
macroprudential policy 13 items
political frictions 13 items
risk 13 items
search 13 items
structural breaks 13 items
technological innovations 13 items
technology diffusion 13 items
Asymmetric loss function 12 items
Basel III 12 items
Business cycles - Econometric models 12 items
Community banks 12 items
Country Risk 12 items
Credit risk 12 items
Debit cards 12 items
Deficit financing 12 items
Discretion 12 items
Displaced workers 12 items
Economic history 12 items
Electronic funds transfers 12 items
Finance, Public 12 items
Heterogeneity 12 items
Industrial capacity 12 items
Infrastructure (Economics) 12 items
Labor force participation 12 items
Markov-switching 12 items
Medical care, Cost of 12 items
Microeconomics 12 items
Municipal finance 12 items
Nowcasting 12 items
Search and matching 12 items
Student loans 12 items
Symmetric loss function 12 items
central banks 12 items
consumer spending 12 items
convergence 12 items
event study 12 items
financial markets 12 items
higher education 12 items
lenders of last resort 12 items
pandemics 12 items
real estate 12 items
reallocation 12 items
recessions 12 items
search frictions 12 items
spillovers 12 items
student loans 12 items
Accounting 11 items
Aging 11 items
Australia 11 items
Bank notes 11 items
CARES Act 11 items
Climate-related risk 11 items
Consumer Credit 11 items
Delinquency 11 items
Discrimination in consumer credit 11 items
Dividends 11 items
Federal Reserve District, 7th 11 items
Financial Crisis 11 items
Firm dynamics 11 items
Gambling industry 11 items
Gender 11 items
Group of Seven countries 11 items
Hedge funds 11 items
Institutional investors 11 items
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