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Author:Waddell, Sonya Ravindranath 

Briefing
The size and structure of exports in the Fifth District economy

In the last 10 years, exports have played a growing role in the national economy. This has been especially true in the Fifth District since mid-2002.
Richmond Fed Economic Brief , Issue Jan

Journal Article
Monitoring Economic Activity in Real Time Using Diffusion Indices: Evidence from the Fifth District

We provide an analysis that parses out the conditions under which diffusion indices based on disaggregated information are informative about overall economic activity. Building on work by Pinto, Sarte, and Sharp (2015), we highlight the fact that diffusion indices, appropriately scaled, capture contributions of changes in the extensive margin -- e.g. how many sectors are growing or declining rather than by how much individual sectors are growing or declining -- to aggregate growth. In the Fifth Federal Reserve District, for example, this margin captures the bulk of variations in aggregate ...
Economic Quarterly , Issue 4Q , Pages 275-301

Journal Article
A regional look at the role of house prices and labor market conditions in mortgage default

A linear fixed effects statistical model is used to study variations in foreclosure rates across metropolitan statistical areas in the Fifth Federal Reserve District. We find that variations in local labor market conditions and house prices do a remarkable job of capturing variation in foreclosure rates. We study the regional variation in foreclosure rates in more detail by examining two localities in our district: Prince William County, Virginia, and Charlotte, North Carolina. Finally, the model is used to provide forecasts of foreclosure rates conditioned on possible paths of labor market ...
Economic Quarterly , Volume 97 , Issue 1Q , Pages 1-43

Journal Article
From Stylized to Quantitative Spatial Models of Cities

This paper describes the progression from a standard monocentric model of a city to its analog in the quantitative spatial framework recently reviewed by Redding and Rossi-Hansberg (forthcoming). In this progression, we preserve the basics of preferences, technology, and endowments across models. The monocentric model allows for many of a city's characteristics to be endogenous, including size, population, wages, and commercial and residential land rents, but it is also highly stylized. In contrast, quantitative spatial models impose far fewer restrictions in the way that these variables ...
Economic Quarterly , Issue 3Q , Pages 169-196

Journal Article
State Labor Markets: What Can Data Tell (or Not Tell) Us?

Econ Focus , Issue 1Q , Pages 36-39

Journal Article
The Richmond Fed at 100 Years

Econ Focus , Issue 1Q , Pages 36-39

Journal Article
State and Metro Data, 3Q:14

Econ Focus , Issue 1Q , Pages 40-43

Journal Article
District digest: economic trends across the region

Two articles: "Living standards in the Fifth district;" and "Earn more, work more: how leisure time has changed"
Econ Focus , Volume 13 , Issue Sum , Pages 37-43

Journal Article
District digest : Economic trends across the region

"The Roles of New and Existing Establishments in Employment in the Fifth District," article by R. Andrew Bauer, pg. 36-39
Econ Focus , Volume 14 , Issue 3Q , Pages 36-43

Journal Article
District digest: Econonmic trends across the region

"Long-term industry and occupation outlook in the Fifth district"
Econ Focus , Volume 15 , Issue 1Q , Pages 40-47

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