Search Results
Journal Article
Research Spotlight: Bank Runs and Reactions
Marco Cipriani, Thomas M. Eisenbach, and Anna Kovner. "Tracing Bank Runs in Real Time." Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Paper No. 24-10, Revised September 2024.
Briefing
Economic Effects Everywhere All at Once
The recent tariffs have brought global trade linkages to the forefront of academic and policy discussions. The global swings in the stock market and sentiment measures have emphasized how U.S. economic policy and conditions have important implications internationally.This global interconnectedness has been present for decades and spurred much academic research even prior to recent developments. Indeed, output and inflation have moved in parallel across countries for many years now. While economists continue to analyze and quantify the sources of this comovement, cross-country linkages are ...
Briefing
Sentiment About Business Debt as a Leading Economic Indicator
Understanding the sources and transmission of financial distress in the economy is essential for macroeconomic stabilization policy. For example, policymakers and academics have both pointed to excesses in credit markets — including abnormally low risk premiums, misaligned incentives for risk taking, lax credit standards and excessive borrowing — as the main culprits behind the 2008-09 financial crisis.1 Since then, many questions have emerged regarding the role of credit factors in business-cycle fluctuations. Postwar data for multiple economies suggest that rapid growth in business or ...
Briefing
Stargazing: Estimating r* in Other Countries
We provide estimates of r* — a central concept in monetary policy — for a set of countries using the same methodology as for the Richmond Fed's own r* estimate for the U.S. We generally find that the estimated r* paths are country specific, but that they behave more similarly to each other than to the U.S., indicating its central role in the international monetary system.