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Author:Robertson, John C. 

Working Paper
Earnings on the information technology roller coaster: insight from matched employer-employee data

This paper uses matched employer-employee data for the state of Georgia to examine workers? earnings experience through the information technology (IT) sector?s employment boom of the mid-1990s and its bust in the early 2000s. The results show that even after controlling for individual characteristics before the sector?s boom, transitioning out of the IT sector to a non-IT industry generally resulted in a large wage penalty. However, IT service workers who transitioned to a non-IT industry still fared better than those who took a non-IT employment path. For IT manufacturing workers, there is ...
FRB Atlanta Working Paper , Paper 2005-11

Journal Article
Nation and southeast set for modest recovery in 2002

EconSouth , Volume 3 , Issue Q4 , Pages 2-7

Journal Article
Now and then: How different downturns affect the Southeast service sector

The service sector has performed very differently in the recession that began in March 2001 than it did in the July 1990-March 1991 recession. Many service industries have performed poorly in the most recent downturn, demonstrating that the service sector may be less immune to negative economic shocks than is commonly assumed.
EconSouth , Volume 5 , Issue Q1 , Pages 8-13

Working Paper
The push-pull effects of the information technology boom and bust: insight from matched employer-employee data

This paper examines the inflow and outflow of workers to different industries in Georgia during the information technology (IT) boom of the 1990s and the subsequent bust. Workers in the software and computer services industry were much more likely to have been absent from the Georgia workforce prior to the boom but were no more likely than workers from other industries to have exited the workforce during the bust. Consequently, the Georgia workforce likely experienced a net gain in worker human capital as a result of being an area of concentration of IT-producing activity during the IT boom.
FRB Atlanta Working Paper , Paper 2006-01

Journal Article
A look ahead: housing, energy squeezed in '08

If economic growth slows in the United States in 2008, it will primarily be because of factors already present: a slumping housing market, high energy costs, and turbulence in worldwide financial markets.
EconSouth , Volume 9 , Issue 4

Journal Article
Ill winds can’t blow U.S. economy off course

Three ferocious hurricanes in 2005 failed to dampen the country?s economic momentum, and disruptions to the nation?s oil and natural gas supply created only temporary shocks.
EconSouth , Volume 7 , Issue Q4

Conference Paper
Resolving the liquidity effect.

Proceedings , Issue May , Pages 33-54

Journal Article
Southeastern forecast: Return to growth in new year

EconSouth , Volume 3 , Issue Q4 , Pages 8-23

Journal Article
Vector autoregressions: forecasting and reality

Constructing forecasts of the future path for economic series such as real gross domestic product growth, inflation, and unemployment forms a large part of applied economic analysis for business and government. Model-based forecasts are easier to replicate and validate by independent researchers than forecasts based on expert opinion alone. In addition, the forecaster can formally investigate the source of systematic errors in model forecasts, and a forecast model s performance can be established before it is used by a decision maker. ; The authors of this article describe a particular ...
Economic Review , Volume 84 , Issue Q1 , Pages 4-18

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