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Author:Phillips, Keith R. 

Journal Article
New tools for analyzing the Mexican economy: indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators

New composite indexes presented in this article could prove useful in analyzing and forecasting the Mexican economy. Keith Phillips, Lucinda Vargas, and Victor Zarnowitz present composite indexes of leading and coincident indexes for Mexico. In constructing the indexes, the economists use an approach similar to that developed by the National Bureau of Economic Research to create the composite indexes of U.S. economic activity. The authors classify peaks and troughs in the Mexican business cycle since 1980. Using these business cycle turning points, the authors determine which indicators ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q II

Working Paper
An econometric analysis of U.S. oil demand

Working Papers , Paper 8901

Journal Article
The Texas construction sector: the tail that wagged the dog

The boom-to-bust days of the Texas construction industry will linger in people's memory for many years. D'Ann Petersen, Keith Phillips, and Mine Yucel examine the factors that led to the rise and fall of the Texas construction industry and determine the role the industry played in the state's volatile economy during the 1970s and 1980s. ; Petersen, Phillips, and Yucel employ an econometric model to analyze the roles residential and nonresidential construction played in the state's economic fluctuations from 1976 through 1990. The authors find that, although large swings in oil prices were the ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q II , Pages 23-33

Journal Article
New tools for analyzing the Texas economy: indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators

Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Jul , Pages 1-13

Journal Article
Full steam ahead for Texas ports

Southwest Economy , Issue Nov , Pages 3-6

Journal Article
Lower Oil Prices, Tight Labor Markets to Restrain Texas Growth in 2019

Texas' economy should expand in 2019, though at a slower rate than in the prior year. A decline in oil prices in late 2018, tight labor markets and the possibility of restrictive U.S. trade and tariff policies weigh on the outlook for the state.
Southwest Economy , Issue First Quarter , Pages 10-13

Journal Article
Snapshot: Texas Employment Estimate Debuts

The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas’ new Texas Weekly Employment Estimate (TWEE) is a timely tool to monitor evolving economic conditions while awaiting release of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ establishment survey of employment.
Southwest Economy , Issue Third Quarter

Journal Article
Efficient methods to achieve clean air

Vista

Texas Economy Grows Strongly Despite Mounting Supply-Chain Woes, Worker Shortages

Continued growth in the national economy, strong increases in Texas leading indicators and high oil futures prices suggest continued strong job growth for the remainder of the year and into 2022.
Dallas Fed Economics

Journal Article
Once-Oil-Dependent Texas Economy to Keep Growing as Renewable Energy Expands

The negative environmental impacts of global warming have motivated the beginnings of a global transition from traditional fossil fuels to renewable energy.
Southwest Economy , Issue Third Quarter

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