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Discussion Paper
Stress Test Success and Bank Opacity
Morgan, Donald P. (2011-05-25)
In contemplating the recent financial panic, it is easy to get lost in the weeds of repo markets and asset-backed securities and lose sight of the fact that, at the fundamental level, the panic was about inadequate information. Investors were uncertain about what particular assets were worth, and they were uncertain about which banks were exposed to those assets and to what degree. They were also uncertain about how the government would handle undercapitalized banks. It was against this background that the Treasury announced in February 2009 that the nineteen largest U.S. bank holding ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20110525

Discussion Paper
The ‘Banking Desert’ Mirage
Pinkovskiy, Maxim L.; Perlman, Davy; Morgan, Donald P. (2018-01-10)
Unbanked households are often imagined to live in urban neighborhoods devoid of banks, but is that really the case? Our map of U.S. banking deserts reveals that most are not in urban areas, where financial exclusion may be endemic, but in actual deserts?largely in the sparsely populated, rural West. Across states, we find that the share of the population in a banking desert is unrelated to the share that is unbanked. If distance from a bank is not what causes financial exclusion, then motivating banks to locate closer to the unbanked may not promote financial inclusion.
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20180110

Working Paper
Bank loan commitments and the lending view of monetary policy
Morgan, Donald P. (1992)
Research Working Paper , Paper 92-09

Discussion Paper
The Final Crisis Chronicle: The Panic of 1907 and the Birth of the Fed
Narron, James; Morgan, Donald P. (2016-11-18)
The panic of 1907 was among the most severe we’ve covered in our series and also the most transformative, as it led to the creation of the Federal Reserve System. Also known as the “Knickerbocker Crisis,” the panic of 1907 shares features with the 2007-08 crisis, including “shadow banks” in the form high-flying, less-regulated trusts operating beyond the safety net of the time, and a pivotal “Lehman moment” when Knickerbocker Trust, the second-largest trust in the country, was allowed to fail after J.P. Morgan refused to save it.
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20161118

Discussion Paper
Climate Change and Financial Stability: The Weather Channel
Blickle, Kristian S.; Morgan, Donald P. (2022-04-04)
Climate change could affect banks and the financial systems they anchor through various channels: increasingly extreme weather is one (Financial Stability Board, Basel Committee on Bank Supervision). In our recent staff report, we size up this channel by studying how U.S. banks, large and small, fared against disasters past. We find even the most destructive disasters had insignificant or small effects on bank stability and small and positive effects on bank income. We conjecture that recovery lending after disasters helps stabilize larger banks while smaller, local banks’ knowledge of ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20220404

Journal Article
The Federal Reserve's midyear monetary policy report to Congress
Morgan, Donald P. (1989-08)
Financial Letters , Issue Aug

Journal Article
Meet the new borrowers
Black, Sandra E.; Morgan, Donald P. (1999-02)
Credit card lenders have been writing off loans at sharply higher rates since 1995, suggesting that riskier borrowers are acquiring credit cards. What makes the new borrowers riskier--even more than their personal characteristics and attitudes toward debt--is the fact that they carry higher debt burdens and work in occupations where income may be more cyclical.
Current Issues in Economics and Finance , Volume 5 , Issue Feb

Report
Banks versus Hurricanes: A Case Study of Puerto Rico after Hurricanes Irma and Maria
Anagnostakos, Peter; Bram, Jason; Chan, Benjamin; Fischl-Lanzoni, Natalia; Latif, Hasan; Mahoney, James M.; Morgan, Donald P.; Morgan, Ladd; Suarez, Ivelisse (2023-11-01)
We study Puerto Rico’s experience after the severe hurricane season of 2017 to better understand how extreme weather disasters affect bank stability and their ability to lend. Despite the devastation wrought by two category 5 hurricanes in a single month, we find relatively modest and transitory impacts on bank performance with no evident decline in lending capacity. We discuss various mitigants that help limit bank exposure to extreme weather and whether these mitigants may be vulnerable given the potential for more severe and more impactful climate events.
Staff Reports , Paper 1078

Conference Paper
Whether and why banks are opaque
Morgan, Donald P. (1999)
Proceedings , Paper 636

Journal Article
The Role of bank credit enhancements in securitization
Wei, Chenyang; Morgan, Donald P.; Mandel, Benjamin H. (2012)
This article looks at enhancements provided by banks in the securitization market. We start with a set of new facts on the evolution of enhancement volume provided by U.S. bank holding companies (BHCs). We highlight the importance of bank-provided enhancements in the securitization market by comparing their market share with that of financial guaranties sold by insurance companies, one of the main sellers of credit protection in the securitization market. Contrary to the notion that banks were being eclipsed by other institutions in the shadow banking system, we find that banks have held ...
Economic Policy Review , Issue 07 , Pages 35-46

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