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Should We Fear the Inverted Yield Curve?
The yield curve inverted before every one of the last nine U.S. recessions. How do U.S. government bonds shape the yield curve, why does it invert, and is it really a warning signal? Find out in the December 2019 issue of Page One Economics.
Temporary Open Market Operations and Large-Scale Asset Purchases
The Federal Reserve employs both conventional and unconventional monetary policy tools to promote maximum employment and price stability. This special Summer 2020 issue of Page One Economics reviews the monetary policy framework under ample reserves and then describes the use of temporary open market operations and large-scale asset purchase programs to promote the stability of the financial system that facilitates access to credit for households and business.
Measuring Financial and Economic Risk with FRED
FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) provides access to a wide range of time-series data. Several of those series signal stress levels in financial markets and the probability of economic recession. This article describes indexes of financial and economic recession risk to new data users and can serve as a reference to advanced data users.