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Author:Kumar, Anil 

Working Paper
Nonparametric estimation of the impact of taxes on female labor supply

Econometric models with nonlinear budgets sets frequently arise in the study of impact of taxation on labor supply. Blomquist and Newey (2002) have suggested a nonparametric method to estimate the uncompensated wage and income effects when the budget set is nonlinear. This paper extends their nonparametric estimation method to censored dependent variables. The modified method is applied to estimate female wage and income elasticities using the 1987 PSID. I find evidence of bias if the nonlinearity in the budget set is ignored. The median compensated elasticity is estimated at 1.19 (with a ...
Working Papers , Paper 0505

Journal Article
Texas Sees Coverage Gains Under Health Care Act

While Texas was among the states choosing not to participate in the Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act, it nonetheless has seen improvement in the share of the population with health insurance coverage. Gains are notable among the non-college-educated working-age population in Texas, a state that has long ranked near the bottom in health care coverage nationally.
Southwest Economy , Issue Q4 , Pages 3-7

Working Paper
Do restrictions on home equity extraction contribute to lower mortgage defaults? evidence from a policy discontinuity at the Texas’ border

Texas is the only US state that limits home equity borrowing to 80 percent of home value. This paper exploits this policy discontinuity around the Texas? interstate borders and uses a multidimensional regression discontinuity design framework to find that limits on home equity borrowing in Texas lowered the likelihood of mortgage default by about 1 percentage point for all mortgages and 2-4 percentage points for nonprime mortgages. Estimated nonprime mortgage default hazards within 25 to 100 miles on either side of the Texas? border are about 15 percent smaller as one crosses into Texas.
Working Papers , Paper 1410

Labor Economy at Greater Risk in Texas than U.S. During COVID-19 Crisis

The coronavirus crisis could more adversely affect the Texas economy than the U.S. economy due to the state’s relatively large share of at-risk jobs, a review of data suggests.
Dallas Fed Economics

Texas Jobs Decline at Historic Pace from Impact of COVID-19

The decrease affected all major metro areas, with the steepest drops coming in El Paso, Fort Worth and Austin, followed closely by Houston, San Antonio and Dallas.
Dallas Fed Economics

Journal Article
Why Texas feels less subprime stress than U.S.

Differences in economic factors and mortgage characteristics give the state a lower delinquency rate.
Southwest Economy , Issue Nov , Pages 3-6, 16

Working Paper
Did Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Create Jobs and Stimulate Growth? Early Evidence Using State-Level Variation in Tax Changes

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017 is the most extensive overhaul of the U.S. income tax code since the Tax Reform Act of 1986. Existing estimates of TCJA’s economic impact are based on economic projections using pre-TCJA estimates of tax effects. Following recent pioneering work of Zidar (2019), I exploit plausibly exogenous state-level variation in tax changes and find that an income tax cut equaling 1 percent of GDP led to a 1 percentage point higher nominal GDP growth and about 0.3 percentage point faster job growth in 2018.
Working Papers , Paper 2001

Working Paper
A closer look at the Phillips curve using state-level data

Studies that estimate the Phillips curve for the U.S. use mainly national-level data and find mixed evidence of nonlinearity, with some recent studies either rejecting nonlinearity or estimating only modest convexity. In addition, most studies do not make a distinction between the relative impacts of short-term vs. long-term unemployment on wage inflation. Using state-level data from 1982 to 2013, we find strong evidence that the wage-price Phillips curve is nonlinear and convex; declines in the unemployment rate below the average unemployment rate exert significantly higher wage pressure ...
Working Papers , Paper 1409

Journal Article
College pays dividends - more so in Texas than U.S.

Economic research confirms what parents have been telling their children for generations: College education pays off in higher earnings. Indeed, the gains from earning a college degree have been rising over the past quarter century--in both the nation and Texas. ; Supply and demand go a long way toward explaining rapid increases in the college premium since the 1980s. Texas' faster increases suggest demand growth has outpaced supply growth by a wider margin in the state than the nation.
Southwest Economy , Issue Q2 , Pages 3-6

Journal Article
Who doesn't have health insurance and why

Southwest Economy , Issue Nov , Pages 1-4

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