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Author:Kliesen, Kevin L. 

Journal Article
A Report on Economic Conditions in the Little Rock Zone

Burgundy Books , Issue 2Q

Journal Article
How negative is negative real GDP growth?

Most forecasters think the surprise first-quarter contraction is not a harbinger of another recession, but history suggests caution.
Economic Synopses , Issue 17

Journal Article
Signs point to stronger real GDP growth in 2012 than last year's 1.6

The Regional Economist , Issue Jul

Journal Article
A jobless recovery with more people working?

One employment survey said 800,000 jobs were lost in the two years after the recession ended in November 2001. Another survey said 2 million more people were working. Can anyone account for this huge gap?
The Regional Economist , Issue Apr , Pages 10-11

Journal Article
Economy Bounces Back from Hurricanes

Two major hurricanes hit the U.S. mainland in August (Harvey) and September (Irma).1 Given the population and economic significance of the impacted regions, most forecasters immediately downgraded prospects for the U.S. economy?s growth of real gross domestic product (GDP) in the third quarter.
The Regional Economist , Volume 25 , Issue 4

Journal Article
The federal debt: what’s the source of the increase in spending?

The government increased payments to individuals without reducing spending elsewhere in the budget.
Economic Synopses

Journal Article
Ringing in the new year with an investment bust?

National Economic Trends , Issue Dec

Journal Article
Man the lifeboats!

The Regional Economist , Issue Jan , Pages 19

Working Paper
Forecasting inflation and output: comparing data-rich models with simple rules

Decision makers, both public and private, use forecasts of economic growth and inflation to make plans and implement policies. In many situations, reasonably good forecasts can be made with simple rules of thumb that are extrapolations of a single data series. In principle, information about other economic indicators should be useful in forecasting a particular series like inflation or output. Including too many variables makes a model unwieldy and not including enough can increase forecast error. A key problem is deciding which other series to include. Recently, studies have shown that ...
Working Papers , Paper 2006-054

Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Little Rock zone

Burgundy Books , Issue 3Q

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