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Discussion Paper
Do You Know How Your Treasury Trades Are Cleared and Settled?
Mithal, Radhika; Keane, Frank M.; Fleming, Michael J.; Copeland, Adam (2018-09-12)
The Treasury Market Practices Group (TMPG) recently released a consultative white paper on clearing and settlement processes for secondary market trades of U.S. Treasury securities. The paper describes in detail the many ways Treasury trades are cleared and settled? information that may not be readily available to all market participants?and identifies potential risk and resiliency issues. The work is designed to facilitate discussion as to whether current practices have room for improvement. In this post, we summarize the current state of clearing and settlement for secondary market Treasury ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20180912

Journal Article
The benchmark U.S. Treasury market: recent performance and possible alternatives
Fleming, Michael J. (2000-04)
Economic Policy Review , Issue Apr , Pages 129-145

Report
Intraday market making with overnight inventory costs
Vogt, Erik; Fleming, Michael J.; Zhang, Hongzhong; Capponi, Agostino; Adrian, Tobias (2016-10-01)
The U.S. Treasury market is highly intermediated by nonbank principal trading ﬁrms (PTFs). Limited capital forces PTFs to end the trading day roughly ﬂat. We construct a continuous time market making model to analyze the trade-oﬀ faced by a proﬁt-maximizing ﬁrm with overnight inventory costs, and develop closed-form representations of the optimal price policy functions. Our model reveals that bid-ask spreads widen as the end of the trading day approaches, and that increases in order arrival rates do not always lead to higher price volatility. Our empirical analysis shows that ...
Staff Reports , Paper 799

Discussion Paper
Which Dealers Borrowed from the Fed’s Lender-of-Last-Resort Facilities?
Sarkar, Asani; Hrung, Warren B.; Fleming, Michael J.; Acharya, Viral V. (2017-05-10)
During the 2007-08 financial crisis, the Fed established lending facilities designed to improve market functioning by providing liquidity to nondepository financial institutions—the first lending targeted to this group since the 1930s. What was the financial condition of the dealers that borrowed from these facilities? Were they healthy institutions behaving opportunistically or were they genuinely distressed? In published research, we find that dealers in a weaker financial condition were more likely to participate than healthier ones and tended to borrow more. Our findings reinforce the ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20170510

Report
Federal Reserve liquidity provision during the financial crisis of 2007-2009
Fleming, Michael J. (2012)
This paper examines the Federal Reserve's unprecedented liquidity provision during the financial crisis of 2007-2009. It first reviews how the Fed provides liquidity in normal times. It then explains how the Fed's new and expanded liquidity facilities were intended to enable the central bank to fulfill its traditional lender-of-last-resort role during the crisis while mitigating stigma, broadening the set of institutions with access to liquidity, and increasing the flexibility with which institutions could tap such liquidity. The paper then assesses the growing empirical literature on the ...
Staff Reports , Paper 563

Discussion Paper
Changes in the Returns to Market Making
Vogt, Erik; Fleming, Michael J.; Adrian, Tobias; Shachar, Or; Stackman, Daniel (2015-10-07)
Since the financial crisis, major U.S. banking institutions have increased their capital ratios in response to tighter capital requirements. Some market analysts have asserted that the higher capital and liquidity requirements are driving up the costs of market making and reducing market liquidity. If regulations were, in fact, increasing the cost of market making, one would expect to see a rise in the expected returns to that activity. In this post, we estimate market-making returns in equity and corporate bond markets to assess the impact of regulations.
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20151007

Journal Article
The round-the-clock market for U.S. Treasury securities
Fleming, Michael J. (1997-07)
U.S. Treasury securities are traded in London and Tokyo as well as in New York, creating a virtual round-the-clock market. The author describes that market by examining trading volume, price volatility, and bid-ask spreads over the global trading day. He finds that trading volume and price volatility are highly concentrated in New York trading hours. Bid-ask spreads are found to be wider overseas than in New York and wider in Tokyo than in London. Despite the lower liquidity of the overseas locations, the author finds that overseas price changes in U.S. Treasury securities are unbiased ...
Economic Policy Review , Volume 3 , Issue Jul , Pages 9-32

Discussion Paper
Market Liquidity after the Financial Crisis
Adrian, Tobias; Shachar, Or; Fleming, Michael J. (2017-06-28)
The possible adverse effects of regulation on market liquidity in the post-crisis period continue to garner significant attention. In a recent paper, we update and unify much of our earlier work on the subject, following up on three series of earlier Liberty Street Economics posts in August 2015, October 2015, and February 2016. We find that dealer balance sheets have continued to stagnate and that various measures point to less abundant funding liquidity. Nonetheless, we do not find clear evidence of a widespread deterioration in market liquidity.
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20170628

Discussion Paper
Treasury Market Liquidity during the COVID-19 Crisis
Fleming, Michael J.; Ruela, Francisco (2020-04-17)
A key objective of recent Federal Reserve policy actions is to address the deterioration in financial market functioning. The U.S. Treasury securities market, in particular, has been the subject of Fed and market participants’ concerns, and the venue for some of the Fed’s initiatives. In this post, we evaluate a basic metric of market functioning for Treasury securities— market liquidity—through the first month of the Fed’s extraordinary actions. Our particular focus is on how liquidity in March 2020 compares to that observed over the past fifteen years, a period that includes the ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20200417

Discussion Paper
How Much Value Was Destroyed by the Lehman Bankruptcy?
Sarkar, Asani; Denison, Erin; Fleming, Michael J. (2019-01-14)
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (LBHI) filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on September 15, 2008, initiating one of the largest and most complex bankruptcy proceedings in history. Recovery prospects for creditors, who submitted about $1.2 trillion of claims against the Lehman estate, were quite bleak. This week, we will publish a series of four posts that provide an assessment of the value lost to Lehman, its creditors, and other stakeholders now that the bankruptcy proceedings are winding down. Where appropriate, we also consider the liquidation of Lehman?s investment banking affiliate, ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20190114b

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