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Author:Famiglietti, Matthew 

Blog
Social Distancing and Contact-Intensive Occupations

Some jobs certainly require more close interaction with other folks than other jobs. Which occupations are the most interactive, and which states have higher shares of these jobs?
On the Economy

Blog
House Hunting in a Period of Social Distancing

Lower housing demand due to quarantine orders, slowing price growth and mortgage originations, and a historically high housing supply are all hitting the economy at the same time.
On the Economy

Blog
How the Impact of Social Distancing Ripples through the Economy

Social distancing directly hurts industries that rely on face-to-face contact. But the spillover effect is even affecting industries less dependent on such contact.
On the Economy

Blog
Reopening the U.S. Economy an Industry at a Time

A novel index of physical contact exposure helps to identify the industries that are the most contact-intensive and might reopen later, as well as lower-contact industries that could reopen sooner.
On the Economy

Blog
Ready for the Pandemic? Household Debt before the COVID-19 Shock

Before the pandemic, shares of delinquencies had already been growing in consumer finance loans, credit card debt, student loans and auto loans. And delinquencies can vary greatly among states.
On the Economy

Journal Article
Immigration and International Trade in U.S. Manufactured Goods

States with higher shares of immigrants tend to export a higher fraction of manufactured goods.
Economic Synopses , Issue 34

Journal Article
Predicting the Yield Curve Inversions that Predict Recessions: Part 2

Expectations of housing market conditions should be considered when forecasting recessions.
Economic Synopses , Issue 10

Journal Article
Finance and Development: Evidence from Firm-Level Data

An analysis of cross-country data sheds light on the link between finance and economic development.
The Regional Economist , Volume 27 , Issue 3

Journal Article
Construction Permits and Future Housing Supply: Implications for 2020

A decline in housing permits and supply expectations may lead to softening in the 2020 housing market.
Economic Synopses , Issue 27

Journal Article
Predicting the Yield Curve Inversions that Predict Recessions: Part 1

Current macroeconomic indicators generally decrease before recessions, but not before yield curve inversions.
Economic Synopses , Issue 9

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