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A jump in consumer loans?
The dramatic increases [in consumer loans] over the past few months have been caused by a new reporting requirement issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board.
The U.S. deficit outlook March 2010
For years, economists have debated the wisdom of increasing government spending during recessions. On the one hand, increased spending adds to budget deficits, but on the other, increased spending can stimulate the economy during a downturn, thus speeding recovery. Deficits topped $1.4 trillion in the latest recession?which raises two questions: "How big is 'too big' in terms of spending?" and "What are the long-term consequences?" The March 2010 Newsletter offers some insights into this timely topic.
Deflation: who let the air out?
Inflation, deflation, disinflation. They affect the prices of everything we buy. To find out how and what?s happening in today?s economy, see the February 2011 newsletter, ?Deflation: Who Let the Air Out??
U.S. trade springs back
The evidence suggests that the combination of a slowdown in trade finance and inventory adjustments likely explain the recent trade dynamics.
The ins and outs of unemployment insurance
Although the economy is rebounding, the unemployment rate remains high and private sector job gains remain weak. economists debate whether extending unemployment benefits keep unemployment artificially high by discouraging work.
Multinationals from emerging economies: growing but little understood
Their share of the foreign investment pie grew from 0.4 percent in 1970 to 15.8 percent in 2008. What's behind the growth?
Banking crises around the world: different governments, different responses
Over the past 40 years, there have been more than 120 banking crises around the world. Different governments have responded in different ways. The gross and net costs as a percentage of GDP range wildly, anywhere from less than 1 percent to well beyond 30 percent.
The trade collapse: lining up the suspects
Don't blame trade restrictions this time. Instead, the three culprits are the credit crunch, the "compositional effect" and the trend away from making an entire product in one country.
Commercial bank lending data during the crisis: handle with care
Caution is necessary when making inferences based solely on aggregate loans data.