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Author:Cowley, Cortney 

Journal Article
Reshuffling in Soybean Markets following Chinese Tariffs

Chinese tariffs on U.S. soybeans could reduce the global competitiveness of U.S. soybeans in the longer term.
Economic Review , Volume v. 105 , Issue no.1 , Pages 5-30

Journal Article
The Outlook for Farmland Values amid Higher Interest Rates

In 2018, the spread between returns to farmland owners and benchmark interest rates narrowed to its lowest level in more than a decade in the Tenth Federal Reserve District. At the same time, farmland sales increased in some states for the first time in several years. Together, the reduced spread and indications of increased sales in some regions suggest the potential for lower farmland values moving forward.
Economic Bulletin , Issue April 10, 2019 , Pages 3

Journal Article
The Dispersion of Farmland Values in the Tenth District

Cortney Cowley examines the widening dispersion of farmland values in the Tenth Federal Reserve District and finds that land quality, climate, and commodity sales have played important roles.
Economic Review , Issue Q IV , Pages 29-67

Journal Article
Mapping Stress in Agricultural Lending

Repayment rates for farm loans have declined every quarter since the second quarter of 2013, suggesting heightened stress in agricultural lending. If repayment rates continue to decline?and the outlook for the agricultural sector remains downbeat?agricultural banks could become less able to lend to creditworthy farm borrowers. Thus, declining repayment rates could lead to adverse outcomes for agricultural banks, farmers, and the rural economies they serve. {{p}} Cortney Cowley uses data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City?s Ag Credit Survey to model and map areas with the highest ...
Economic Review , Issue Q III , Pages 27-51

Working Paper
Examining the Relationships between Land Values and Credit Availability

Given the changes made to the agricultural lending system since the 1980s farm crisis, we investigate the current effects of credit availability on land values. Using data from Federal Reserve Agricultural Credit Surveys, we measure credit availability and perform county-level panel fixed effects estimations controlling for land value determinants, credit availability factors, and county and macroeconomic factors. We build an indicator of increased credit availability and find that estimating farmland values with different factors of credit availability separately could mask combined effects. ...
Research Working Paper , Paper RWP 20-02

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