Employment in the New York - New Jersey Region: 2008 review and outlook
The 2007 slowing in job growth in the New York - New Jersey region continued through August 2008. A projected weakening in the national economy through the end of 2008 combined with the market turmoil affecting New York City's finance sector suggests that the region will post substantially smaller job gains this year than it did in 2007. Beyond 2008, continued financial stress could lead to an even sharper and more protracted contraction in the city's finance sector, potentially spreading to other sectors of the region's economy.
AUTHORS: Orr, James A.; Rosen, Rae D.; Bram, Jason
New York City's economy before and after September 11
An analysis of employment and income trends suggests that the economic impact of the September 11 attack on New York City was somewhat less severe than originally thought. The attack created sizable job and income losses, but the city's current downturn appears to stem largely from other, cyclical factors - namely, the national economy and the financial markets.
AUTHORS: Bram, Jason
Dynamics of the Second District economy
Consumers and analysts remain wary about the economic prospects of the Second District. But is caution here simply becoming habit? True, there are some weak spots, but strong performance in the southern tier is pointing to a brighter economic future for the district.
AUTHORS: Bram, Jason
New York City's new-media boom: real or virtual?
Although the new-media industry has been a fairly strong contributor to New York City's economic growth, the city's reputation as a new-media hub appears to be overstated.
AUTHORS: Bram, Jason; DeMott, Mike
Taking the pulse of the New York City economy
Although New York City's payroll employment is rising briskly, it still falls short of its 2001 peak, raising concerns that the local economy is not generating enough jobs. However, a look at a broader set of economic indicators-alternative job measures, wage and salary earnings, and a composite index of economic activity-suggests that the economy is significantly healthier than the payroll count indicates. Indeed, a measure of employment among New York City residents shows a strong upward trend extending over the past thirty years. Subseries: Second District Highlights.
AUTHORS: Bram, Jason; Orr, James A.
Tourism and New York City's economy
In New York City, tourism has made impressive gains in recent years, particularly in the foreign visitor segment. While not large enough to propel the city's economy, this long-term growth industry is critical to maintaining the local export base and providing jobs to low-skilled workers.
AUTHORS: Bram, Jason
Can New York City bank on Wall Street?
The securities industry is more important than ever to the New York City economy, and a protracted downturn in the industry's employment could seriously hurt the overall job picture. Increased stability in other New York City industries, however, could help soften the economic effects of such a downturn.
AUTHORS: Orr, James A.; Bram, Jason
Evolution of commuting patterns in the New York City metro area
Has the migration of jobs to the suburbs changed the commuting patterns in the New York City metro area? An analysis of current commuting trends suggests that Manhattan remains the region's undisputed employment center and that workers are actually traveling farther to their jobs. Two factors appear to account for the longer commutes: the dispersion of people and jobs and a greater tolerance for long-distance travel among employers and employees.
AUTHORS: Bram, Jason; McKay, Alisdair
Is the worst over? Economic indexes and the course of the recession in New York and New Jersey
The New York-New Jersey region entered a pronounced downturn in 2008, but the pace of decline eased considerably in spring 2009 and then leveled off in July, according to three key Federal Reserve Bank of New York economic indexes. These developments, in conjunction with a growing consensus that the national economy is headed for recovery, suggest that the worst may be over for the region's economy. However, a downsizing of the area's critical finance sector could pose a major risk to the economic outlook going forward--particularly for New York City.
AUTHORS: Bram, Jason; Rich, Robert W.; Orr, James A.; Rosen, Rae D.; Song, Joseph
Job growth in New York and New Jersey: mid-2007 review and outlook
Employment in the New York-New Jersey region expanded by about 0.9 percent in 2006. Slightly slower job growth - on the order of 0.8 percent - was recorded in the first half of 2007 and is expected to continue throughout the year, in part reflecting moderating growth in the national economy. The employment rise in New York State was led by a strong expansion of services jobs in New York City; any sustained weakening in the city's financial sector would be unlikely to affect employment significantly until 2008.
AUTHORS: Bram, Jason; Rosen, Rae D.; Orr, James A.