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Journal Article
After Years of Decline, Yields on U.S. Treasuries Rise
After declining for almost eight years, yields on U.S. Treasuries turned upward in the second half of 2016. Several domestic and international factors have led to a decrease in demand for these bonds.
Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Little Rock zone
Working Paper
Metro Business Cycles
We construct monthly economic activity indices for the 50 largest U.S. metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) beginning in 1990. Each index is derived from a dynamic factor model based on twelve underlying variables capturing various aspects of metro area economic activity. To accommodate mixed-frequency data and differences in data-publication lags, we estimate the dynamic factor model using a maximum- likelihood approach that allows for arbitrary patterns of missing data. Our indices highlight important similarities and differences in business cycles across MSAs. While a number of MSAs ...
Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the St. Louis zone
Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Little Rock zone
Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Memphis zone
Journal Article
The liquidity trap: an alternative explanation for today's low inflation
In contrast with many people?s expectations, the Fed?s injection of $3.5 trillion into the economy caused no significant inflation or increases in the price level. There are many possible explanations in the mainstream; an alternative is a liquidity trap.
Journal Article
There are two sides to every coin—even to the bitcoin, a virtual currency
Central to Bitcoin is its independence from any institution or government, allowing anyone to engage in a direct transaction at a low cost. So, what exactly is it, and how does it work?
Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Louisville zone
Journal Article
Engines of growth vary in four largest cities