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Speech
The joys of spring: remarks at the 21st Annual Bronx Bankers Breakfast, Bronx, New York
Williams, John C. (2019-05-10)
Remarks at the 21st Annual Bronx Bankers Breakfast, Bronx, New York.
Speech , Paper 319

Speech
'Normal' monetary policy in words and deeds: remarks at Columbia University, School of International and Public Affairs, New York City
Williams, John C. (2018-09-28)
Remarks at Columbia University, School of International and Public Affairs, New York City.
Speech , Paper 292

Report
China in the global economy. SF Fed President John Williams talks with Zheng Liu, Mark Spiegel, and Fernanda Nechio of the international research team about China's economic slowdown and how it's affecting global economic activity
Nechio, Fernanda; Liu, Zheng; Williams, John C.; Spiegel, Mark M. (2015)
In the 2015 annual report, What We've Learned...and why it matters, we share our research findings about the slowdown in China's economic growth and its effects on the U.S. economy, emerging market economies, and global commodity markets. Cyclical and structural factors underlie the slowdown. We discuss the impact of trends in exports and investment, and the country's transformation from a manufacturing-based economy to a service-based economy. We believe China's days of 10 percent economic growth likely are over.
Annual Report

Speech
The Federal Reserve and the economic recovery
Williams, John C. (2012)
Presentation to The Columbian?s 2012 Economic Forecast Breakfast, Vancouver, Washington, January 10. 2012
Speech , Paper 96

Speech
Monetary policy strategies for a low-neutral-interest-rate world: remarks at the 80th Plenary Meeting of the Group of Thirty, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City
Williams, John C. (2018-11-30)
Remarks at the 80th Plenary Meeting of the Group of Thirty, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City.
Speech , Paper 303

Journal Article
Monetary Policy and the Economic Outlook: A Fine Balancing Act
Williams, John C. (2017)
The economy is in a good place. Unemployment is low and confidence is high. The challenges to address are good ones: keeping the expansion going, bringing inflation up to its 2% target, and using this period to normalize monetary policy in general and interest rates in particular. The years ahead will require a balanced approach, guided by the data. The following is adapted from remarks by the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco at the 54th Annual Economic Forecast, Phoenix, AZ, on November 29.
FRBSF Economic Letter

Working Paper
Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Yields and Exchange Rates in the U.K. and Germany
Williams, John C.; Swanson, Eric T. (2013-08-01)
The zero lower bound on nominal interest rates began to constrain many central banks? setting of short-term interest rates in late 2008 or early 2009. According to standard macroeconomic models, this should have greatly reduced the effectiveness of monetary policy and increased the efficacy of fiscal policy. However, these models also imply that asset prices and private-sector decisions depend on the entire path of expected future short-term interest rates, not just the current level of the monetary policy rate. Thus, interest rates with a year or more to maturity are arguably more relevant ...
Working Paper Series , Paper 2013-21

Speech
Welcoming remarks at the Investing in America's Workforce Book Launch Event, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City
Williams, John C. (2018-11-09)
Remarks at the Investing in America's Workforce Book Launch Event, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City.
Speech , Paper 300

Journal Article
Monetary policy in uncertain times
Williams, John C. (2013)
The Federal Reserve has taken bold steps this past year, both in the approaches to stimulate the economy and the way it talks about policy. The Fed's initiatives are working, and represent the best course to move toward maximum employment and price stability. ; This letter is adapted from a presentation by the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco to the Semiconductor Materials and Equipment International (SEMI) 2013 Industry Strategy Symposium, in Half Moon Bay, California, on January 14, 2013.
FRBSF Economic Letter

Working Paper
Transition dynamics in vintage capital models: explaining the postwar catch-up of Germany and Japan
Gilchrist, Simon; Williams, John C. (2001)
We consider a neoclassical interpretation of Germany and Japan's rapid postwar growth that relies on a catch-up mechanism through capital accumulation where technology is embodied in new capital goods. Using a putty-clay model of production and investment, we are able to capture many of the key empirical properties of Germany and Japan's postwar transitions, including persistently high but declining rates of labor and total-factor productivity growth, a U-shaped response of the capital-output ratio, rising rates of investment and employment, and moderate rates of return to capital.
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 2001-07

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