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Author:Welch, John H. 

Working Paper
Cointegration and tests of a classical model of inflation in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Mexico, And Peru

Working Papers , Paper 9210

Journal Article
NAFTA: capstone and cornerstone

Southwest Economy , Issue Sep , Pages 1-4

Conference Paper
Real exchange rates and investment booms in Mexico

Proceedings

Journal Article
Interpreting central bank independence in Mexico

Southwest Economy , Issue Jul , Pages 6-7

Working Paper
The new face of Latin America: financial flows, markets, and institutions in the 1990s

Working Papers , Paper 9302

Working Paper
U.S. banks, competition, and the Mexican banking system: how much will NAFTA matter?

Working Papers , Paper 9410

Working Paper
Rational inflation and real internal debt bubbles in Argentina and Brazil?

Working Papers , Paper 9113

Journal Article
Understanding Latin American currency pegs to the dollar

Southwest Economy , Issue Jul , Pages 1-4

Working Paper
Is tighter fiscal policy expansionary under fiscal dominance? Hypercrowding out in Latin America

We test for hypercrowding out as a signal of market concerns over fiscal dominance in five Latin American countries. Hypercrowding out occurs when fiscally dominated governments domestic credit demands are perceived as so intrusive to a nations financial system that a move towards fiscal surplus lowers interest rates and increases growth. We sample five Latin American countries to test for these relationships. Judged by the results of vector error correction models, three nations test clearly positive, suggesting market concern despite their recent efforts towards fiscal balance.
Center for Latin America Working Papers , Paper 0205

Journal Article
Is NAFTA economic integration?

Most economists agree that trade liberalization raises incomes and living standards. To achieve trade liberalization, though, countries must sometimes first reach trade agreements. And trade agreements, as William Gruben and John Welch observe, may intertwine elements of both liberalization and protectionism. As an example, Gruben and Welch examine the negotiation process that preceded passage of the North American Free Trade Agreement. ; Is NAFTA economic integration? Although some authors think so, Gruben and Welch believe that interpreting NAFTA purely as economic integration is ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q II , Pages 35-51

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