Search Results
Showing results 1 to 10 of approximately 30.
(refine search)
Journal Article
The national income and product accounts
Journal Article
An index of leading indicators for inflation
Journal Article
Forecasts 1983
An abstract for this article is not available.
Journal Article
Which price index should a central bank employ?
Journal Article
National productivity statistics
Journal Article
Interest rates and federal deficits
An abstract for this article is not available.
Briefing
How useful are consumer surveys as macroeconomic indicators?
Most economic indicators attempt to summarize what happened at a particular time in the past. Consumer surveys, however, examine attitudes and are thus fundamentally different from other widely reported indicators. Some surveys, such as those that measure inflation expectations, have proven to be useful to economists and policymakers, while the evidence is more mixed for others, such as forecasts of consumer spending.
Journal Article
Labor market data
A guide to the use and interpretation of labor market data (employment, unemployment, and wages). Important statistical sources are surveyed and their histories outlined.
Journal Article
Vector autoregressions as a tool for forecast evaluations
In his article, Vector Autoregressions as a Tool for Forecast Evaluation, Roy H. Webb proposes that VAR forecasts be used as a standard of comparison for other forecasts. He begins by explaining how conventional forecasting models are constructed and used, and summarizes a few common objections to these models. He then describes the VAR methodology and compares forecasts from a simple VAR model with those from a consulting firm that uses a conventional model and with a series of consensus forecasts. The VAR model holds its own in this competition; in fact, only the VAR model is able to ...