Journal Article
The transition to consumption taxation, Part 2: the impact on existing financial assets
Viard, Alan D. (2001-04)
Replacing the income tax with a consumption tax is likely to reduce the total value of the capital stock. Alan D. Viard reviews how this decline is divided between bondholders and stockholders and the effect on household borrowers and lenders. He explains that the results depend on whether monetary policy accommodates the tax through a higher price level. Without accommodation, the decline in the value of capital is largely borne by stockholders and there is little reallocation of wealth between household borrowers and lenders. If the tax is fully accommodated, bondholders bear heavier ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q II , Pages 20-31

Journal Article
The new budget outlook: policymakers respond to the surplus
Viard, Alan D. (1999-04)
Economic events and policy changes have unexpectedly moved the federal budget into surplus. If current policies are maintained, surpluses are expected to continue for twenty years, although deficits are expected to return after 2020. Congress and President Clinton are considering proposals to reduce the projected surpluses through tax cuts or spending increases. In this article, Alan Viard describes the recent budget events and the new budget outlook. He analyzes the effects of the proposed tax cuts and spending increases, finding that they are likely to reduce national saving and lower ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q II , Pages 2-15

Journal Article
Pay-as-you-go Social Security and the aging of America: an economic analysis
Viard, Alan D. (2002)
Because it is a mature pay-as-you-go retirement system, Social Security provides current and future workers with below-market returns. These workers bear the burden of the unfunded liability arising from windfall gains to past retirees. Alan D. Viard uses these principles to examine the effects of three demographic developments: the low birthrate since the baby boom ended in 1965, the impending retirement of the baby boomers, and the downward trend in old-age mortality. The low birthrate reduces Social Securitys long-run rate of return as the unfunded liability is spread across fewer workers. ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review

Journal Article
Would a research tax credit be a good investment for Texas?
Viard, Alan D.; Sigalla, Fiona (1999-03)
Southwest Economy , Issue Mar , Pages 1-7

Working Paper
Are income taxes destined to rise? the fiscal imbalance and future tax policy
Viard, Alan D.; Saving, Jason L. (2015-01-01)
We present a model of optimizing government behavior in which a need for increased revenue leads to the introduction of a new revenue source, such as a VAT, accompanied by a reduction in income taxes. We argue that this is a plausible outcome for the United States, in view of international experience and recent fiscal reform proposals, and has important implications for individual investment decisions.
Working Papers , Paper 1502

Journal Article
Social Security and Medicare: no free lunch
Viard, Alan D.; Saving, Jason L. (2005-01)
Southwest Economy , Issue Jan , Pages 1, 8-12

Conference Paper
The welfare gain from the introduction of indexed bonds
Viard, Alan D. (1993)
Proceedings

Journal Article
The second great migration: economic and policy implications
Viard, Alan D.; Orrenius, Pia M. (2000-05)
Southwest Economy , Issue May , Pages 1-8

Journal Article
The looming challenge of the alternative minimum tax
Viard, Alan D. (2006)
The United States adopted its first minimum income tax in 1969 in response to reports that a few hundred high-income individuals had avoided paying any income taxes. From these humble beginnings, the alternative minimum tax (AMT) has grown to the point where it will soon raise taxes for millions of Americans, many of them middle-income workers who weren?t the targets of the original law. ; While the AMT applied to 200,000 taxpayers in 1990, roughly 4 million will pay it this year, according to the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center. But that is only the beginning. Under current law, the AMT ...
Economic Letter , Volume 1

Journal Article
The Federal budget: developments and outlook
Viard, Alan D. (2004-07)
Southwest Economy , Issue Jul , Pages 1, 8-12