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Journal Article
Texas Economy Shifting into Second Gear in 2017
Amid an energy sector recovery in the second half of 2016, the Texas economy is positioned to return to its long-term pace of growth this year. However, a significant change in oil prices or further weaknesses in manufacturing remain risks to the outlook.
Journal Article
Go Figure: Pandemic, Remote Learning Undo STAAR Test Gains; Texas Student Scores Slide
Hispanic and Black students’ scores on the 2021 exam fell more than those of white students and reversed previous years' gains.
Journal Article
Texas Economy Mends in Fits and Starts from Pandemic’s Onslaught
A resurgent COVID-19 outbreak in Texas has stymied a state economic recovery, according to the Texas Business Outlook Surveys and high-frequency data that document activity on a more granular level.
Labor Scarcity, Trade Woes Squeeze Texas Business, Survey Finds
Businesses face difficulty both trying to hire in a historically tight labor market and navigating tariffs and trade policy uncertainty.
Journal Article
Texas to remain a top state for job growth in 2014
The economy continued to expand broadly, with employment in oil and gas, leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and construction growing strongly.
Journal Article
Go Figure: Vehicle Sales Highlight Surprising Resilience in Spending During Pandemic
Texas truck/SUV sales held steady while car sales declined steeply amid the recession caused by COVID-19.
Texas Economic Outlook Weakens, Price Pressures Persist
The Texas economy shows continuing signs of softening, as output and employment indicators suggest slower growth relative to the first half of the year.
Journal Article
Texas facing economic headwinds in 2015
Texas job growth is likely to slow in 2015 from last year?s rapid pace as the state economy absorbs the impact of collapsing energy prices that have curtailed oil patch activity.
Potential Mismeasurement of Mining Limits Official Texas Real GDP Data
We show how a new measure tied to oil and gas production provides a result that is more consistent with other assessments of real output in this industry.
Journal Article
Texas Economy Starts 2018 Firing on All Cylinders
Aided by the oil and gas sector?s recovery, the Texas economy rebounded in 2017 and is poised to expand at a faster pace in 2018. However, tight labor markets, disruptions to trade, and potential oil price declines pose risks to the outlook.