Search Results
Working Paper
The nature of GNP revisions
An examination of the provisional estimates of real GNP growth, concluding that these early estimates are not efficient forecasts of the final GNP numbers.
Journal Article
Estimating the underlying inflation rate
Journal Article
Getting the noise out: filtering early GNP estimates
An analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce's provisional estimates of GNP as estimates that are contaminated with measurement error; investigates a means of adjusting the numbers to remove the error and to produce more accurate predictions of the final GNP growth estimates.
Conference Paper
Financial change and monetary targeting in the United States