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Author:Mullins, Joseph 

Working Paper
Designing Cash Transfers in the Presence of Children’s Human Capital Formation

This paper finds that accounting for the human capital development of children has a quantitatively large effect on the true costs and benefits of providing cash assistance to single mothers in the United States. A dynamic model of work, welfare participation, and parental investment in children introduces a framework for calculating costs and benefits when individuals respond to incentives. The model provides a tractable outcome equation in which a policy’s effect on child skills can be understood through its impact on two economic resources in the household – time and money – and the ...
Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers , Paper 117

Report
Ordinal Complementarity

This paper introduces ordinal complementarity: a feature of stochastic production functions that is robust to monotonic transformations of inputs X and output Y. It has two equivalent definitions: supermodularity of the conditional survival function under a first-order stochastic dominance ordering, and supermodularity of E[Q(Y )|X] for all non-decreasing valuations Q. Relative to existing conventions, this definition offers a strengthening with more robust policy implications. Ordinal complementarity is necessary and sufficient for a number of social planner problems to have monotone ...
Staff Reports , Paper 1199

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