Journal Article
The Philadelphia story: a new forecasting model
Crone, Theodore M.; McLaughlin, Michael P. (1999-09)
Several years ago, the Philadelphia Fed developed a small forecasting model for each of the three states in the Third Federal Reserve DistrictCPennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware. This article introduces a similar model that forecasts major economic variables for the Philadelphia metropolitan area and the city of Philadelphia. Read this article and find out what the model predicts for the metro area and the city
Business Review , Issue Sep , Pages 13-23

Working Paper
A Bayesian VAR forecasting model for the Philadelphia Metropolitan Area
Crone, Theodore M.; McLaughlin, Michael P. (1999)
Vector-autoregression (VAR) forecast models have been developed for many state economies, including the three states in the Third Federal Reserve District--Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware. This paper extends that work by developing a Bayesian VAR forecast model for the Philadelphia metropolitan area and the city of Philadelphia.
Working Papers , Paper 99-7