Search Results
Journal Article
Commodity prices and P-star
An illustration of how the P-star indicator of future inflation can be modified to include information about the recent behavior of commodity prices. This approach yields more accurate short-run inflation forecasts while still retaining the property that, over the long run, only money matters.
Discussion Paper
M2 per unit of potential GNP as an anchor for the price level
Working Paper
The algebra of I (1)
Working Paper
Cointegration and transformed series
An explanation of how to use nonparametric techniques to search for and test possible cointegrating transformations of time series.
Journal Article
Integrating business and personal income taxes
An examination of the problems surrounding the current corporate tax system, including a detailed look at several reform proposals from the Treasury Department.
Journal Article
Has the long-run velocity of M2 shifted? Evidence from the P* model
An examination of one of the P-Star model's primary assumptions: the constancy of M2's long-run velocity, or V-Star. Using actual data through the end of 1992, the authors find that simulations of the model under a variety of hypotheses regarding changes in V-Star provide little support for a dramatic shift in that measure.
Journal Article
Uncertain inflation and price-level rules
An analysis of the sources and costs of unpredictable inflation, finding that the uncertainty stems from a lack of appropriate constraints on the monetary policy process, and that the costs could be sharply reduced by adopting a policy that targets a long-run path for the price level.