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Author:Gavin, William T. 

Journal Article
The short-run dynamics of long-run inflation policy

An examination of the short- and long-term implications of an inflation policy on real output, using a method that allows structural interpretation of a simple VAR applied to a macroeconomic system that includes real output and inflation.
Economic Review , Volume 26 , Issue Q III , Pages 26-35

Journal Article
More money: understanding recent changes in the monetary base

The financial crisis that began in the summer of 2007 took a turn for the worse in September 2008. Until then, Federal Reserve actions taken to improve the functioning financial markets did not affect the monetary base. The unusual lending and purchase of private debt was offset by the sale of Treasury securities so that the total size of the balance sheet of the Fed remained relatively unchanged. In September, however, the Fed stopped selling securities as it made massive purchases of private debt and issued hundreds of billions of dollars in short-term loans. The result was a doubling of ...
Review , Volume 91 , Issue Mar , Pages 49-60

Journal Article
PPI versus CPI inflation

National Economic Trends , Issue Feb

Journal Article
M2 and 'reigniting inflation'

Monetary Trends , Issue Jun

Working Paper
Zero inflation: transition costs and shoe-leather benefits

A comparison showing that the transition costs of indexing inflation (a major obstacle to monetary policy reform) are approximately equal to the minor shoe-leather benefits of having price stability.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9113

Journal Article
How money matters

Monetary Trends , Issue Jun

Journal Article
Available labor supply

National Economic Trends , Issue Feb

Working Paper
In defense of zero inflation

An argument supporting zero inflation as the sole objective of monetary policy, with particular emphasis on the Bank of Canada's commitment to an explicit, low inflation target.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9005

Journal Article
Price-level uncertainty and inflation targeting

In this paper, Dittmar, Gavin and Kydland make two points about commonly proposed rules for inflation targeting. First, they argue that there is a great deal of uncertainty about the price level and inflation inherent in current proposals to target inflation. They show that the degree to which the central bank cares about the real economy can have a large impact on price level (and inflation) uncertainty. They find that the magnitudes of uncertainty that prevailed across the G-10 throughout the last four decades are the expected consequence of commonly proposed inflation-targeting regimes. ...
Review , Volume 81 , Issue Jul , Pages 23-34

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