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Author:Gale, Douglas 

Working Paper
A Comment on Monetary Policy and Rational Asset Price Bubbles

Galí (2014) showed that a monetary policy rule that raises interest rates in response to bubbles can paradoxically lead to larger bubbles. This comment shows that a central bank that wants to dampen bubbles can always do so by raising interest rates aggressively enough. This result is different from the Miao, Shen and Wang (2019) comment on Galí’s paper. They argue Galí’s model contains additional equilibria in which more aggressive rules dampen bubbles. We show that for these equilibria, more aggressive rules involve threats to raise interest rates more than actual rate increases.
Working Paper Series , Paper WP 2023-25

Working Paper
Financial markets, intermediaries, and intertemporal smoothing

Working Papers , Paper 95-4

Conference Paper
Dollarization, bailouts, and the stability of the banking system

Proceedings , Paper 729

Working Paper
A welfare comparison of intermediaries and financial markets in Germany and the U.S

Working Papers , Paper 95-3

Working Paper
On Interest Rate Policy and Asset Bubbles

In a provocative paper, Gal (2014) showed that a policymaker who raises interest rates to rein in a potential bubble will only make a bubble bigger if one exists. This poses a challenge to advocates of lean-against-the-wind policies that call for raising interest rates to mitigate potential bubbles. In this paper, we argue there are situations in which the lean-against-the wind view is justified. First, we argue Gal?s framework abstracts from the possibility that a policymaker who raises rates will crowd out resources that would have otherwise been spent on the bubble. Once we modify Gal?s ...
Working Paper Series , Paper WP-2017-16

Report
Liquidity hoarding

Banks hold liquid and illiquid assets. An illiquid bank that receives a liquidity shock sells assets to liquid banks in exchange for cash. We characterize the constrained efficient allocation as the solution to a planner?s problem and show that the market equilibrium is constrained inefficient, with too little liquidity and inefficient hoarding. Our model features a precautionary as well as a speculative motive for hoarding liquidity, but the inefficiency of liquidity provision can be traced to the incompleteness of markets (due to private information) and the increased price volatility that ...
Staff Reports , Paper 488

Working Paper
Universal banking, intertemporal risk smoothing, and European financial integration

Working Papers , Paper 95-6

Conference Paper
Competition and financial stability

Competition policy in the banking sector is complicated by the necessity of maintaining financial stability. Greater competition may be good for (static) efficiency, but bad for financial stability. From the point of view of welfare economics, the relevant question is: what are the efficient levels of competition and financial stability? We use a variety of models to address this question and find that different models provide different answers. The relationship between competition and stability is complex: sometimes competition increases stability.
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