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Author:Furfine, Craig H. 

Conference Paper
Deal complexity, loan performances, and the pricing of commercial mortgage-backed securities

Proceedings , Paper 1124

Conference Paper
Interbank exposures: quantifying the risk of contagion

Proceedings , Paper 633

Conference Paper
Empirical evidence on the need for a lender of last resort

Proceedings , Paper 674

Working Paper
Mergers and risk

This paper examines the impact of mergers on default risk, finding that, on average, a merger increases the default risk of the acquiring firm. This is surprising for two reasons: risk reduction is among the reasons commonly cited for mergers, and asset diversification should reduce default risk unless the newly-merged firm takes some action to increase risk. We associate the risk increase with mergers satisfying one of a trifecta of conditions related to agency problems: mergers financed with stock, acquirers with a high market- to-book ratio, and acquirers with poor stock price performance ...
Working Paper Series , Paper WP-06-09

Journal Article
Decimalization and market liquidity

This study examines the stocks of 1, 339 companies that began decimal trading on the NYSE on January 29, 2001. Using the price impact of a trade as a measure of liquidity, the author finds that decimalization typically led to an improvement in liquidity.
Economic Perspectives , Volume 27 , Issue Q IV

Conference Paper
Analyzing alternative daylight credit policies in real-time gross settlement systems

Proceedings , Paper 516

Working Paper
When is inter-transaction time informative?

We investigate the information content of inter-transaction time and find that it varies both across stocks and over time. On average, inter-transaction time is found to be informative whenever stocks are sufficiently traded. The magnitude of the information content is found to be larger for less liquid, but still fairly actively traded stocks. In general, trades arriving quickly move prices more than trades arriving more slowly. Further, the information content of inter-transaction time is negatively correlated with proxies for the amount of private information in the trading of a particular ...
Working Paper Series , Paper WP-03-04

Journal Article
Earnings announcements, private information, and liquidity

In this article, the author examines how the price impact of a trade varies throughout the days surrounding public earnings announcements. The results indicate that public news releases correlate with a reduction in the price impact of a trade on the day of the announcement
Economic Perspectives , Volume 30 , Issue Q I , Pages 39-54

Working Paper
Interbank payments and the daily federal funds rate

This paper develops a model of bank reserve management and federal funds rate determination that incorporates the role of interbank payments. In the model, uncertainty in the receipt of payments generates a precautionary demand for bank reserves as banks face both reserve requirements and penalties for overnight overdrafts. Days with higher payment volume are assumed to create more uncertainty in a bank's reserve account that accentuates this precautionary motive. As a result, upward pressure is placed on the equilibrium funds rate. Implications of the model are then estimated using a panel ...
Finance and Economics Discussion Series , Paper 1998-31

Working Paper
The costs and benefits of moral suasion: evidence from the rescue of Long-Term Capital Management

This study examines the level of unsecured borrowing done by the firms that would ultimately rescue Long-Term Capital Management in the days leading up to the hedge fund's rescue. Although there is some evidence that these banks borrowed less at the height of the crisis, further examination reveals that this reduction in borrowing was demand-driven and did not result from rationing on the part of the market. This suggests that the market believed that the troubles at LTCM would not have solvency-threatening repercussions for the fund's major creditors. Further, it is shown that large banks ...
Working Paper Series , Paper WP-02-11

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