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Author:Frankel, Jeffrey A. 

Working Paper
Crisis, contagion, and country funds: effects on East Asia and Latin America

Spillovers effects, from one country or region to other countries and regions, have attracted renewed attention in the aftermath of the Mexican crisis of December 1994. This paper uses data on closed-end country funds to study how a negative shock in Mexican equities is transmitted to Asia and Latin America, and to particular countries within each region. Country funds allow us to study the transmission to other fund net asset values (NAVs) and prices, which are traded in local stock markets in New York, respectively. The evidence indicates that shocks such as the Mexican crisis produce ...
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 96-04

Working Paper
ASEAN in a regional perspective

There are two striking conventional wisdoms about the status of regional trading blocs in East Asia. The first is that the only formal regional arrangement in the area, ASEAN, does not in fact function as an economic bloc. Trade among the members is thought to be very low. The second is that East Asia taken as a whole does function as a trading and investment bloc, under Japanese direction, and increasingly so over time. This despite the absence of any formal preferential trading area among these countries. This characterization of East Asian trading patterns is not entirely correct. ; ...
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 96-02

Conference Paper
International capital mobility and exchange rate volatility

Conference Series ; [Proceedings] , Volume 32 , Pages 162-194

Conference Paper
International nominal targeting: a proposal for policy coordination

Conference Series ; [Proceedings] , Volume 32 , Pages 234-239

Working Paper
Liberalization of Korea's foreign exchange markets

Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 92-08

Working Paper
Yen bloc or dollar bloc: exchange rate policies of the East Asian economies

Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 93-01

Working Paper
The new regionalism and Asia: impact and options

New regional initiatives abound, both outside Asia and within. Free Trade Areas in the West - notably NAFTA, its possible enlargement into an FTA of the Americas, and the European Union - have implications for Asia. Asian manufacturers will experience trade diversion, especially in textiles and apparel. Balancing such losses is the likelihood of gains from higher import demand caused by stronger economic growth in the Americas and Europe. ; New estimates of the gravity model of bilateral trade confirm the presence of implicit or de facto trade blocs in Asia and the Pacific, as in Europe ...
Pacific Basin Working Paper Series , Paper 95-10

Journal Article
A Pacific economic bloc: is there such an animal?

FRBSF Economic Letter

Working Paper
A test of the existence of the risk premium in the foreign exchange market vs. the hypothesis of perfect substitutability

International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 149

Working Paper
Currency crashes in emerging markets: an empirical treatment

We use a panel of annual data for over one hundred developing countries from 1971 through 1992 to characterize currency crashes. We define a currency crash as a large change of the nominal exchange rate that is also a substantial increase in the rate of change of the nominal depreciation. We examine the composition of the debt as well as its level, and a variety of other macroeconomic, external and foreign factors. Our factors are significantly related to crash incidence, especially output growth, the rate of change of domestic credit, and foreign interest rates. A low ratio of FDI to debt is ...
International Finance Discussion Papers , Paper 534

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