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Journal Article
Coming to America: covered bonds?
Ultimately, covered bonds and ABS are complements, not substitutes.
Journal Article
When oil prices jump, is speculation to blame?
Whenever the price at the pump climbs week after week, people start pointing fingers at investment banks, hedge funds and other speculators. This article quantifies the role that speculation played in the rise of oil prices during the past decade.
Journal Article
Low inflation in a world of securitization
Weak lending may still be the culprit behind low inflation, but monetary aggregates may no longer closely track credit conditions.
Journal Article
Capital controls by any other name
The embrace of ad hoc capital controls to address temporary market inefficiencies on a case-by-case basis, while pragmatic, perpetuates the view that each capital crisis is an isolated example of failed financial institutions.
Journal Article
The great Chinese housing boom
Significant store-of-value demand for housing suggests a bubble that could burst, especially when both the household income growth rate and the savings rate start to decline and capital controls in China start to relax.
Journal Article
Commodity price gains: speculation vs. fundamentals
Commodities of all sorts have risen in price over the past few years. Some say that the prices reflect a bubble, driven by low interest rates and excessive speculation. Others say the price gains can be fully explained by supply and demand.
Journal Article
Quantitative easing: lessons we've learned
Journal Article
Japan reenters the foreign exchange market
From 1999 to 2004 Japan unilaterally sold a combined, and unprecedented, 500 billion dollars of yen.
Journal Article
Why health care matters and the current debt does not
All of the attention given to raising the debt ceiling this past summer might lead some to believe that spending by the federal government only recently became unsustainable. Hardly. We've been on this path a long time.
Journal Article
Monetary policy and asset prices
The housing market crisis is the latest reminder that asset prices can and do run wild at rates capable of negative effects on real economic activity. Not surprisingly, this has reinvigorated debate over whether central banks should respond to asset price bubbles.