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Journal Article
Predicting the Yield Curve Inversions that Predict Recessions: Part 2
Famiglietti, Matthew; Garriga, Carlos (2019-04-15)
Expectations of housing market conditions should be considered when forecasting recessions.
Economic Synopses , Issue 10

Journal Article
Putting Recent Inflation in Historical Context
Famiglietti, Matthew; Garriga, Carlos (2021-06-03)
Prices for many items were depressed during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, and we see the effect in current inflation reports.
Economic Synopses , Issue 12 , Pages 1-2

Journal Article
Finance and Development: Evidence from Firm-Level Data
Famiglietti, Matthew; Leibovici, Fernando (2019)
An analysis of cross-country data sheds light on the link between finance and economic development.
The Regional Economist , Volume 27 , Issue 3

Journal Article
The Economic and Epidemiological Impact of COVID-19 and Government Policies: Part 2
Famiglietti, Matthew; Leibovici, Fernando (2021-07-02)
Health and containment policies were effective at curbing the spread of COVID-19, but at a significant economic cost. State-level economic support policies were effective at mitigating this cost and helped further curb the spread of the virus.
Economic Synopses , Issue 15 , Pages 1-3

Ready for the Pandemic? Household Debt before the COVID-19 Shock
Famiglietti, Matthew; Garriga, Carlos (2020-05-13)
Before the pandemic, shares of delinquencies had already been growing in consumer finance loans, credit card debt, student loans and auto loans. And delinquencies can vary greatly among states.
On the Economy

Journal Article
Immigration and International Trade in U.S. Manufactured Goods
Famiglietti, Matthew; Leibovici, Fernando (2020-05-28)
States with higher shares of immigrants tend to export a higher fraction of manufactured goods.
Economic Synopses , Issue 34

Journal Article
A Simple Evaluation of Two Decades of Inflation Targeting: Lessons for the New Monetary Policy Strategy
Famiglietti, Matthew; Garriga, Carlos (2021-01-29)
New Fed guidance could deliver more inflation outcomes above the current inflation target.
Economic Synopses , Issue 1 , Pages 1-3

Journal Article
Predicting the Yield Curve Inversions that Predict Recessions: Part 1
Famiglietti, Matthew; Garriga, Carlos (2019-04-12)
Current macroeconomic indicators generally decrease before recessions, but not before yield curve inversions.
Economic Synopses , Issue 9

Reopening the U.S. Economy an Industry at a Time
Famiglietti, Matthew; Leibovici, Fernando; Santacreu, Ana Maria (2020-05-12)
A novel index of physical contact exposure helps to identify the industries that are the most contact-intensive and might reopen later, as well as lower-contact industries that could reopen sooner.
On the Economy

Journal Article
COVID-19 Containment Measures, Health and the Economy
Famiglietti, Matthew; Leibovici, Fernando (2021-02-19)
While COVID-19-related restrictions in 2020 spurred short-term rises in unemployment, states with stricter measures saw faster labor market recoveries.
The Regional Economist , Volume 29 , Issue 1

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