Working Paper
The information content of the paper-bill spread
Emery, Kenneth M. (1994)
Working Papers , Paper 9412

Working Paper
Why the composite index of leading indicators doesn't lead
Emery, Kenneth M.; Koenig, Evan F. (1993)
Working Papers , Paper 9318

Journal Article
Do interest rates help predict inflation?
Emery, Kenneth M.; Koenig, Evan F. (1992-10)
Accurate forecasts of inflation are important to policymakers and to individuals who must make decisions on the basis of expectations about the future purchasing power of the dollar. ; Recent research on forecasting inflation has shown that interest rates, by themselves, may provide useful information about future inflation. In this article, Kenneth M. Emery and Evan F. Koenig investigate whether interest rates contain information about future inflation beyond that found in traditional inflation-forecasting models. In other words, does adding interest rates to traditional inflation models ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q IV , Pages 1-17

Journal Article
Inflation and monetary restraint: too little, too late?
Emery, Kenneth M.; Balke, Nathan S. (1995-01)
Southwest Economy , Issue Jan , Pages 3-5

Working Paper
The algebra of price stability
Emery, Kenneth M.; Balke, Nathan S. (1991)
Working Papers , Paper 9117

Journal Article
Do wages help predict inflation?
Emery, Kenneth M.; Chang, Chih-Ping (1996-01)
In the financial press, productivity-related wages are often cited as an inflation indicator. For example, recently slow rates of wage growth have been noted as a factor that will keep inflation rates low in the future. While inflation and wage growth do appear to be highly correlated over longer time periods, it is not clear whether movements in wage growth precede movements in inflation, thereby providing predictive content for future inflation. In this article, Kenneth Emery and Chih-Ping Chang examine the usefulness of wage growth as a predictor of inflation, as well as carry out a ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q I , Pages 2-9

Journal Article
Is there a stable relationship between capacity utilization and inflation?
Emery, Kenneth M.; Chang, Chih-Ping (1997-01)
Many policymakers and financial market participants use the Federal Reserve's industrial capacity utilization rate as an indicator of future changes in inflation. During the past few years, however, the usefulness of the utilization rate as an inflation indicator has come under scrutiny. ; In this article, Kenneth Emery and Chih-Ping Chang examine capacity utilization's power to predict changes in inflation, with a focus on whether the relationship is stable over time. They find that while there was a positive forecasting relationship between capacity utilization and changes in consumer price ...
Economic and Financial Policy Review , Issue Q I , Pages 14-20

Journal Article
Controlling inflation: a historical perspective
Emery, Kenneth M. (1993-07)
Southwest Economy , Issue Jul , Pages 4-5

Working Paper
Inflation and its variability: a note?
Emery, Kenneth M. (1992)
Working Papers , Paper 9205

Journal Article
Investment and housing drive 1994 growth
Emery, Kenneth M. (1994-01)
Southwest Economy , Issue Jan , Pages 1-4