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Discussion Paper
Mind the Gap: Announced versus Implied Tariff Rates in Recent Trade Policy Episodes
In the past year, the U.S. has raised its tariffs on trading partners to a historic level. The tariff rate implied by actual tariff payments owed by importers, however, falls short of the tariff rate implied by announced policies (Gopinath and Neiman, 2026).
Discussion Paper
The Effect of Export Market Access on Labor Market Power: Firm-level Evidence from Vietnam
Many developing and developed countries have experienced a declining labor share of national output in recent decades (Karabarbounis and Neiman, 2014). Some blame the decline on globalization, although it is surprisingly unclear whether and how globalization is a key contributing factor (Grossman and Oberfield, 2022).