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Author:Duca, John V. 

Report
Nationally, Housing Recovery Finally Gains Traction

U.S. housing markets experienced a notable boom and a painful bust during the past decade. Most recently, housing began its long-awaited recovery?the subject of the Dallas Fed?s 2013 Annual Report. In three essays, widely recognized housing expert and associate director of research John Duca shares insights on the national and regional markets and the outlook for housing.
Annual Report

Why House Prices Surged as the COVID-19 Pandemic Took Hold

In the wake of the short but steep COVID-19 recession, house prices have risen at record levels in recent months, hitting the peak increase of 19.3 percent in July 2021.
Dallas Fed Economics

Journal Article
Making sense of the U.S. housing slowdown

Economic Letter , Volume 1

Journal Article
The rise of mutual funds

Southwest Economy , Issue Jan , Pages 1, 6-8

Working Paper
Credit cards and money demand: a cross-sectional study

Working Papers , Paper 9112

Working Paper
The rise of goods-market competition and the fall of nominal wage contracting: endogenous wage contracting in a multisector economy

This paper shows how heterogeneity wage-setting and a link between nominal wage flexibility andg goods-market competition rise in a multisector economy that is affected by aggregate and sector-specific shocks. Aggregate volatility increases the variance of real contract wages, whereas sectoral volatility increase the relative variance of real Walrasian wages. Given this tradeoff, the prevalence of nominal wage contracting reflects both the relative volatility of aggregate versus sectoral disturbances and the overall degree of goods-market market competition. We find that these variables help ...
Working Papers , Paper 9805

Working Paper
Regulation and the neo-Wicksellian approach to monetary policy

Laubach and Williams (2003) employ a Kalman filter approach to jointly estimate the neutral real federal funds rate and trend output growth using an IS relationship and an output gap based inflation equation. They find a positive link between these two variables, but also much error surrounding neutral real rate estimates. We modify their approach by including variables for regulations on deposit interest rates and on wages and prices. These variables are statistically significant and notably affect estimates of two policy relevant coefficients: the sensitivity of output to the real interest ...
Working Papers , Paper 0807

Working Paper
Inflation, unemployment, and duration

Working Papers , Paper 9603

Journal Article
Productivity gains showing up in services

Southwest Economy , Issue Nov , Pages 1, 5-8

Working Paper
The Impact of the Dodd-Frank Act on Small Business

There are concerns that the Dodd-Frank Act (DFA) has impeded small-business lending. By increasing the fixed regulatory compliance requirements needed to make business loans and operate a bank, the DFA disproportionately reduced the incentives for all banks to make very modest loans and reduced the viability of small banks, whose small-business share of commercial and industrial (C&I) loans is generally much higher than that of larger banks. Despite an economic recovery, the small-loan share of C&I loans at large banks and banks with $300 or more million in assets has fallen 9 percentage ...
Working Papers , Paper 1806

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