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Discussion Paper
The Welfare Costs of Superstorm Sandy
Deitz, Richard; Bram, Jason; Orr, James A.; Abel, Jaison R. (2012-12-18)
As most of the New York metropolitan region begins to get back to normal following the devastation caused by superstorm Sandy, researchers and analysts are trying to assess the total ?economic cost? of the storm. But what, exactly, is meant by economic cost? Typically, those tallying up the economic cost of a disaster think of two types of costs: loss of capital (property damage and destruction) and loss of economic activity (caused by disruptions). But there is another important type of economic loss that often is not estimated or discussed in policymaking decisions: loss of welfare or ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20121218

Discussion Paper
Firms’ Inflation Expectations Have Picked Up
Abel, Jaison R.; Deitz, Richard; Hyman, Benjamin (2025-03-05)
After a period of particularly high inflation following the pandemic recession, inflationary pressures have been moderating the past few years. Indeed, the inflation rate as measured by the consumer price index has come down from a peak of 9.1 percent in the summer of 2022 to 3 percent at the beginning of 2025. The New York Fed asked regional businesses about their own cost and price increases in February, as well as their expectations for future inflation. Service firms reported that business cost and selling price increases continued to moderate through 2024, while manufacturing firms ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20250305

Discussion Paper
What are the Costs of Superstorm Sandy?
Abel, Jaison R.; Bram, Jason; Orr, James A.; Deitz, Richard (2012-12-17)
Superstorm Sandy has had widespread effects in the tri-state region. Early estimates of the total national costs have been in the range of $30 billion to $50 billion. More recently, the New York State governor’s office has estimated state costs to be $32.8 billion, while the New Jersey governor’s office has calculated state costs to be $29.5 billion; these figures exclude mitigation costs&#8212money spent to protect against future storms. It is important to remember that such figures incorporate two distinct types of costs: first, direct costs related to the destruction of physical ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20121217

Discussion Paper
College May Not Pay Off for Everyone
Abel, Jaison R.; Deitz, Richard (2014-09-04)
In our recent Current Issues article and blog post on the value of a college degree, we showed that the economic benefits of a bachelor’s degree still far outweigh the costs. However, this does not mean that college is a good investment for everyone. Our work, like the work of many others who come to a similar conclusion, is based in large part on the empirical observation that the average wages of college graduates are significantly higher than the average wages of those with only a high school diploma. However, not all college students come from Lake Wobegon, where “all of the children ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20140904b

Journal Article
Baby-boom retirements and emerging labor market pressures
Deitz, Richard (2006)
As the baby-boom generation begins to retire, employers in upstate New York will be confronted with the dual pressures of replacing these workers and filling new jobs created in growing segments of the economy. An analysis of projected hiring rates in the region suggests that although there will be demand for workers in all occupations, employers may face a particular challenge filling positions in growing services occupations with relatively high retirement rates, such as health care, community and social services, and education.
Upstate New York Regional Review , Volume 1 , Issue 1 , Pages 1-7

Discussion Paper
A Look at the New York-Northern New Jersey Region’s Pandemic Housing Boom
Bram, Jason; Hastings, Jonathan; Deitz, Richard; Abel, Jaison R. (2022-11-10)
Since the start of the pandemic, home prices in the U.S. have increased by an astonishing 40 percent. The New York-Northern New Jersey region saw a similar meteoric rise, as home prices shot up by 30 percent or more almost everywhere—even in upstate New York, where economic growth was sluggish well before the pandemic hit. New York City is the exception, where home price growth was less than half that pace. Indeed, home prices actually declined in Manhattan early in the pandemic, though they have rebounded markedly since. Much of the region’s home price boom can be traced to the rise in ...
Liberty Street Economics , Paper 20221110b

Journal Article
A leaner, more skilled U.S. manufacturing workforce
Orr, James A.; Deitz, Richard (2006-02)
While the U.S. manufacturing sector has contracted sharply since the early 1980s, employment in high-skill manufacturing occupations has risen by an impressive 37 percent. An investigation of the growth in high-skill manufacturing jobs reveals that virtually all of the nation's industries have shared in this trend. Moreover, skill upgrading has occurred in all parts of the country, even those experiencing severe employment losses.
Current Issues in Economics and Finance , Volume 12 , Issue Feb/Mar

Journal Article
Tourism's role in the upstate New York economy
Deitz, Richard (2004-04)
We begin with a broad discussion of how tourism has emerged as a force in the U.S. and regional economies. We follow with an examination of the industry's size and growth in upstate New York. We also show that the state's rural economy is generally more dependent on tourism than are its metro areas. Finally, despite its size, upstate New York's tourism industry is growing faster than the overall economies of Dutchess Country, Glens Falls, Jamestown, and Binghamton - thus making the industry an increasingly important contributor to growth.
The Regional Economy of Upstate New York , Issue Spr

Journal Article
Is upstate New York showing signs of a turnaround?
DeMott, Mike; Deitz, Richard (1999-05)
Upstate New York may have shown signs of a turnaround in 1997 and 1998, but its economic performance is still well below that of the nation and New York State as a whole.
Current Issues in Economics and Finance , Volume 5 , Issue May

Journal Article
The changing composition of upstate New York's workforce
Deitz, Richard (2003-10)
We use newly available data from the 2000 census to assess the occupational composition of the upstate New York workforce and to analyze how it has changed since the 1990 census. We also compare the evolving mix of occupations in our region with that of the nation as a whole, an approach that allows us to identify upstate New York's areas of specialization and some unique features of the changes in the region's labor market.
The Regional Economy of Upstate New York , Issue Fall

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