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Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Louisville zone
Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Memphis zone
Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the St. Louis zone
Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Little Rock zone
Journal Article
Three Scenarios for Interest Rates in the Transition to Normalcy
In this article, time-series models are developed to represent three alternative, potential monetary policy regimes as monetary policy returns to normal. The first regime is a return to the high and volatile inflation rate of the 1970s. The second regime, the one expected by most Federal Reserve officials and business economists, is a return to the credible low inflation policy that characterized the U.S. economy from 1983 to 2007, a period known as the Great Moderation. The third regime is one in which policymakers keep policy interest rates at or near zero for the foreseeable future; ...
Journal Article
The ups and downs of inflation and the role of Fed credibility
This look at interest rates and inflation in the U.S. over the past 50 years helps to clarify ideas about the Fed?s monetary policy and its own credibility. The authors examine three periods corresponding to three different policies: when the Fed operated without credibility, when it was earning credibility and when it was operating with credibility.
Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Little Rock zone
Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Memphis zone
Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Little Rock zone
Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the St. Louis zone