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Author:Cecchetti, Stephen G. 

Working Paper
Monitoring core inflation

An analysis of the use of limited-information estimators as measures of core inflation, showing that these estimators, such as the median of the cross-sectional distribution of inflation, have a higher correlation with past money growth and deliver improved forecasts of future inflation relative to the Consumer Price Index.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9304

Journal Article
Practical issues in monetary policy targeting

An outline of the considerable information requirements faced by monetary policymakers, and an examination of the data to see what we actually know and how well we know it. The author's primary conclusion is that the deficiencies of our forecasting ability create uncertainty that leads to cautious policymaking.
Economic Review , Issue Q I , Pages 2-15

Journal Article
Measuring short-run inflation for central bankers

Review , Issue May , Pages 143-155

Conference Paper
Achieving growth amid fiscal imbalances: the real effects of debt

Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole

Conference Paper
Policymakers' revealed preferences and the output-inflation variability trade-off: implications for the European system of central banks

Proceedings

Journal Article
Commentary on \\"House prices and the stance of monetary policy \\"

Review , Volume 90 , Issue Jul , Pages 371-376

Journal Article
The consumer price index as a measure of inflation

An estimation of a price index that is immune to some of the weighting biases that can hinder the use of the Consumer Price Index as a reliable measure of inflation.
Economic Review , Volume 29 , Issue Q IV , Pages 15-24

Journal Article
The unreliability of inflation indicators

Analysts seeking evidence of rising inflation often focus on the movements of a single indicator_an increase in the price of gold, for example, or a decline in the unemployment rate. But simple statistical tests reveal that such indicators, used in isolation, have very limited predictive power.
Current Issues in Economics and Finance , Volume 6 , Issue Apr

Journal Article
High real interest rates: can they be explained?

Economic Review , Volume 71 , Issue Sep , Pages 31-41

Working Paper
Efficient inflation estimation

An investigation of the use of trimmed means as high-frequency estimators of inflation.
Working Papers (Old Series) , Paper 9707

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