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Speech
Bullard Talks with The Economist about Inflation, U.S. Economy Growth
St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard discussed the Fed’s approach to raising rates to help manage inflation and what he anticipates for U.S. economic growth, during a podcast for The Economist.
Journal Article
Understanding the inflation targeting debate
Working Paper
A model of learning and emulation with artificial adaptive agents
We study adaptive learning behavior in a sequence of n-period endowment overlapping generations economies with fiat currency, where n refers to the number of periods in agents' lifetimes. Agents initially have heterogeneous beliefs and seek to form multi-step-ahead forecasts of future prices using a forecast rule chosen from a vast set of possible forecast rules. Agents take optimal actions given their forecasts of future prices. They learn in every period by creating new forecast rules and by emulating the forecast rules of other agents. Computational experiments with artificial adaptive ...
Speech
Bullard Speaks with Bloomberg about Inflation, Monetary Policy
St. Louis Fed President James Bullard discussed his expectations for economic growth and inflation in 2021. He also discussed various aspects of U.S. monetary policy during an appearance on Bloomberg Radio and TV.
Speech
Perspectives on 2019 Monetary Policy: a presentation at the Power Up Little Rock, Little Rock Regional Chamber, Little Rock, Ark.
?Market-based signals such as low market-based inflation expectations and a threatening yield curve inversion suggest that this window of opportunity has now closed,? he said. He added that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) should heed these important signals in order to keep the U.S. expansion on track for the next several years. ?The FOMC has already been sufficiently pre-emptive over the last two years to contain upside inflation risk,? he told an audience of about 200 business and civic leaders.
Speech
Bullard Discusses U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy during UBS Panel
St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard shared his views on various aspects of the U.S. economy and monetary policy during a panel discussion at the UBS European Conference 2021.Bullard said he thinks that U.S. real GDP growth coming in softer than expected in the third quarter is “a temporary phenomenon,” with growth being pushed out to the fourth quarter and through next year. He expects real GDP growth to be higher than 4% for all of 2022.In discussing the very tight labor market in the U.S., Bullard cited the unemployment-to-vacancies ratio, the unemployment rate and a labor market ...
Speech
Introductory Remarks: 2022 Community Banking Research Conference
St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard welcomed community bankers, researchers, policymakers and bank regulators to the 10th annual Community Banking Research Conference. Held in-person and virtually this year, the conference is sponsored by the Federal Reserve System, the Conference of State Bank Supervisors (CSBS) and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.Bullard discussed some of the challenges and opportunities that community banks have faced since the event’s inception. He recognized several conference features added in the past decade, while acknowledging the passing earlier this year of ...
Journal Article
The global battle over central bank independence
Speech
Recent Developments in U.S. Monetary Policy: a presentation at Association for Corporate Growth–Monthly Breakfast Meeting, Olin Business School, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Mo. May 19, 2017.
St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said in St. Louis that U.S. macroeconomic data have been relatively weak, on balance, since the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met in March and raised the fed funds rate. Economic growth is unlikely ?to move meaningfully? this year from the current trend of about 2 percent. Inflation and inflation expectations ?have surprised to the downside.? He noted that financial market readings since the March decision have been opposite of expectations. ?This may suggest that the FOMC?s contemplated policy rate path is overly aggressive relative to actual ...