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Journal Article
Same Target, Different Economies: A Cross-Country Analysis of Inflation
Though some countries adopt a common inflation target, nations often have different patterns of inflation.
St. Louis Fed Research Associates Discuss Work and Experiences
RAs help the St. Louis Fed’s staff of economists investigate topics ranging from productivity to unemployment.
Journal Article
The Wage Bills of COVID-19
The largest potential wage loss comes from the health care and social assistance industry.
Journal Article
State Government Expenditures by Party Affiliation
While political divisions have widened considerably in the U.S., dominant political leanings do not appear to correlate with state government expenditures.
Journal Article
On the Relative Performance of Inflation Forecasts
Inflation expectations constitute important components of macroeconomic models and monetary policy rules. We investigate the relative performance of consumer, professional, market-based, and model-based inflation forecasts. Consistent with the previous literature, professional forecasts most accurately predict one-year-ahead year-over-year inflation. Both consumers and professionals overestimate inflation over their respective sample periods. Market-based forecasts as measured by the swap market breakeven inflation rates significantly overestimate actual inflation; Treasury ...
Journal Article
The Large Gap in Stock Market Participation Between Black and White Households
White households participate in the stock market far more than Black households, contributing to the large wealth gap between them.
Journal Article
Decomposing the Low PCE Inflation Rate
The current low PCE inflation rate can largely be attributed to energy, health care, and housing.
What Drives Changes in Inflation?
Examining the inflationary trends of key components of the PCE price index can help provide insight into recent movements in consumer prices.
Journal Article
The Value of $600 Across States Hit Hardest by COVID-19
The CARES act provides an extra $600 per week in unemployment benefits, but the purchasing power of those dollars varies across states, raising the question of whether the equal distribution of $600 across states is an equitable distribution.
More Households Face Food Scarcity during COVID-19
More U.S. households are reporting that they sometimes or often do not have enough food, according to a new Census survey.