Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Little Rock zone
Ricketts, Lowell R.; Arias, Maria A.; Kliesen, Kevin L.; Shell, Hannah; Eubanks, Daniel; McCrory, Peter B.; Neely, Michelle Clark; Cooke, Diana A. (2015-04)
Burgundy Books , Issue 2Q

Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the St. Louis zone
Ricketts, Lowell R.; Arias, Maria A.; Kliesen, Kevin L.; Shell, Hannah; Eubanks, Daniel; McCrory, Peter B.; Neely, Michelle Clark; Cooke, Diana A. (2015-01)
Burgundy Books , Issue 1Q

Journal Article
After Years of Decline, Yields on U.S. Treasuries Rise
Arias, Maria A.; Restrepo-Echavarria, Paulina (2017)
After declining for almost eight years, yields on U.S. Treasuries turned upward in the second half of 2016. Several domestic and international factors have led to a decrease in demand for these bonds.
The Regional Economist , Volume 25 , Issue 1

Working Paper
Metro Business Cycles
Arias, Maria A.; Gascon, Charles S.; Rapach, David E. (2014-11-11)
We construct monthly economic activity indices for the 50 largest U.S. metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) beginning in 1990. Each index is derived from a dynamic factor model based on twelve underlying variables capturing various aspects of metro area economic activity. To accommodate mixed-frequency data and differences in data-publication lags, we estimate the dynamic factor model using a maximum- likelihood approach that allows for arbitrary patterns of missing data. Our indices highlight important similarities and differences in business cycles across MSAs. While a number of MSAs ...
Working Papers , Paper 2014-46

Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Little Rock zone
Ricketts, Lowell R.; Arias, Maria A.; Kliesen, Kevin L.; Shell, Hannah; Eubanks, Daniel; McCrory, Peter B.; Neely, Michelle Clark; Cooke, Diana A. (2015-01)
Burgundy Books , Issue 1Q

Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the St. Louis zone
Ricketts, Lowell R.; Arias, Maria A.; Kliesen, Kevin L.; Kerdnunvong, Usa; Shell, Hannah; Eubanks, Daniel; McGillicuddy, Joseph; Neely, Michelle Clark (2015-04)
Burgundy Books , Issue 2Q

Journal Article
A report on economic conditions in the Memphis zone
Ricketts, Lowell R.; Arias, Maria A.; Kliesen, Kevin L.; Shell, Hannah; Eubanks, Daniel; McCrory, Peter B.; Neely, Michelle Clark; Cooke, Diana A. (2015-01)
Burgundy Books , Issue 1Q

Journal Article
Secured and Unsecured Debt Over the Business Cycle
Wen, Yi; Arias, Maria A. (2017)
Unsecured debt better predicts economic activity than secured debt
Economic Synopses , Issue 1 , Pages 1-2

Journal Article
Does More Financial Development Lead to More or Less Volatility?
Wen, Yi; Arias, Maria A. (2017)
Since the financial crisis, many have speculated that as a financial sector becomes more developed, volatility can become excessive.
The Regional Economist , Volume 25 , Issue 2

Journal Article
Does the Pullback in the Bond Market Matter?
Arias, Maria A.; Restrepo-Echavarria, Paulina (2016)
Foreign demand for U.S. Treasuries might be crucial in keeping a cap on U.S. borrowing costs.
Economic Synopses , Issue 24 , Pages 1-2