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Journal Article
Secured and Unsecured Debt Over the Business Cycle
Unsecured debt better predicts economic activity than secured debt
Journal Article
Sovereign Default and Economic Performance in Oil-Producing Economies
Because oil-producing countries do hold public debt and do default, we must understand how oil reserves and production affect risk and economic performance.
Journal Article
Engines of growth vary in four largest cities
Journal Article
Trapped: Few Developing Countries Can Climb the Economic Ladder or Stay There
Despite the theory of global economic convergence, few developing countries have actually been able to catch up to the income levels in the U.S. or other advanced economies. They remain trapped at a relatively low- or middle-income level.
Journal Article
After Years of Decline, Yields on U.S. Treasuries Rise
After declining for almost eight years, yields on U.S. Treasuries turned upward in the second half of 2016. Several domestic and international factors have led to a decrease in demand for these bonds.
Journal Article
There are two sides to every coin—even to the bitcoin, a virtual currency
Central to Bitcoin is its independence from any institution or government, allowing anyone to engage in a direct transaction at a low cost. So, what exactly is it, and how does it work?
Journal Article
Demographics Help Explain the Fall in the Labor Force Participation Rate
Some believe the decline is due to discouraged workers' dropping out of the labor force. A review of national and District statistics, however, suggests that demographic changes?such as aging workers and adults spending more years in college?can explain this trend.
Journal Article
Food Prices and Inflation in China and the U.S. Are Following Similar Paths
A look at food prices in the two countries helps to explain the increasing correlation in their inflation patterns. One reason why their food prices are moving together is the increased trade between the countries.
Journal Article
Sovereign Debt Crisis in Europe Recalls the Lost Decade in Latin America
In many ways, the European debt crisis is reminiscent of Latin America's experience in the 1980s, characterized by a period of high growth interrupted by an external shock. But there are some notable differences.
Bringing the Data to FRED
Yvetta Fortova and Maria Arias are among the people powering FRED. They help ensure the St. Louis Fed’s data aggregating powerhouse runs smoothly.