Journal Article
Long-Term Trends in Gasoline Prices
Ravikumar, B.; Arbogast, Iris (2022-06-17)
Average annual CPI inflation from 1990 to 2021 was 2.4%, while average annual gasoline price inflation was 3.9%.
Economic Synopses , Issue 14 , Pages 1-2

Not All Bursting Market Bubbles Have the Same Recessionary Effect
Wen, Yi; Arbogast, Iris (2021-02-15)
The popped IT bubble ushered in an eight-month recession in 2001. The burst housing bubble resulted in the Great Recession (2007-09). Why the difference?
On the Economy

The End of Emergency Pandemic Unemployment Benefits in 2021
Arbogast, Iris; Dupor, Bill (2022-04-07)
Although many saw the $300 weekly add-on as the key disincentive to work, the large drop in benefit recipients was driven primarily by the halt in other federal jobless programs.
On the Economy

Journal Article
Working from Home: More Americans Are Telecommuting
Gascon, Charles S.; Arbogast, Iris; Spewak, Andrew (2019)
Americans who primarily work from home represented 3% of full-time employees in 2017, up from 0.7% in 1980.
The Regional Economist , Volume 27 , Issue 3

Journal Article
Employment Effects of Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Benefits: Incentives Matter
Dupor, Bill; Arbogast, Iris (2022-08-04)
The employment effects of halting programs that granted emergency unemployment benefits during the pandemic were substantial and differed across age groups.
The Regional Economist

Journal Article
World Population: What Helps Explain the Explosion?
Ravikumar, B.; Arbogast, Iris (2022-09-15)
A steep decline in India’s death rate from 1950 to 2019 substantially affected the size of the global population and reduced that nation’s median age relative to the U.S.
The Regional Economist

V-Shaped Recovery Eludes G-7 Countries
Arbogast, Iris; Wen, Yi (2020-11-16)
Economic growth should overshoot its long-run trend to make up for the downturn caused by the pandemic. So far, this hasn’t happened.
On the Economy

Journal Article
Anecdotal Evidence Suggests State Capacity Unrelated to COVID-19 Spread
Wen, Yi; Arbogast, Iris; Reinbold, Brian (2020-11-23)
The COVID-19 pandemic has underscored many societal issues, including the capacity of different world governments to contain the virus’ spread.
The Regional Economist , Volume 28 , Issue 4

Working Paper
The Jobs Effect of Ending Pandemic Unemployment Benefits: A State-Level Analysis
Arbogast, Iris; Dupor, Bill (2022-04-24)
This note uses the asynchronous cessation of emergency unemployment benefits (EUB) in 2021 to investigate the jobs impact of ending unemployment benefits. While some states stopped providing EUB in September, other states stopped in June and July. Using the cessation month as an instrument, we estimate the causal effect on employment of reducing unemployment rolls. In the first three months following a state’s program termination, for every 100 person reduction in beneficiaries, state employment causally increased by about 35 persons. The effect is statistically different from zero and ...
Working Papers , Paper 2022-010

Journal Article
How the Death Rate Affects the Aging of the US Population
Ravikumar, B.; Arbogast, Iris (2023-04-21)
What is the effect of death rates on the increased average age of the US population?
Economic Synopses , Issue 8 , Pages 2 pages