Journal Article
Does Low Unemployment Signal a Meaningful Rise in Inflation?
Abstract: The unemployment rate in the U.S. is relatively low by recent historical standards. Some people argue that this means higher inflation is just around the corner, which they cite as a reason for the Fed to raise the U.S. policy rate (i.e., the federal funds rate target). In my view, however, low unemployment readings do not appear to be an indicator of substantially higher inflation to come.
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Bibliographic Information
Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Part of Series: The Regional Economist
Publication Date: 2017
Volume: 25
Issue: 3
Order Number: 1